On Tuesday, February 19, 2013 10:48:03 PM UTC-5, stathisp wrote: > > > > On Wed, Feb 20, 2013 at 12:39 AM, Craig Weinberg <whatsons...@gmail.com> > wrote: > > > As far as the stock market being computable, how would you go about > > determining, for instance, whether or not I rebalance my 401k and on what > > day and time? > > You can't, because it's a chaotic system. If you eschew computers and > "simulate" the stock market by building an entire world with humans and an > economy you would get a stock market that functions similarly to the > original but not the same as the original, so it would be almost useless > for predicting a particular stock movement. A computer simulation can't be > expected to be better than a simulation with real humans living in a real > world. In other words, you would be simulating *a* stock market, not *the* > stock market.
How can you explain that we can predict our own decisions? Or better yet, how do we make decisions in the first place? > > > The brain has the same issue - you can't tell what it is going to do from > > the outside, because the behavior on the outside is often driven by the > > story going on the inside - which cannot be known unless you too are on > the > > inside. > > But that's the case for everything. Its behaviour is driven by what is > going on on the inside as well as what's going on on the outside. > Some things are more predictable to us from the behavior we can observe though. > > -- > Stathis Papaioannou > > > -- > Stathis Papaioannou > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to firstname.lastname@example.org. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list?hl=en. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.