On 13 November 2013 11:16, John Mikes <jami...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Liz wrote: (and I try to interject my remarks in plain lettering)
> *"Sequence is determinative because that's how the universe works. *
> I would say: "how WE explain the workings of the universe" (- rather
> Yes of course but so far the second law of thermodynamics has held up
> * Tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow, creeps in this petty pace from day
> to day, to the last syllable of recorded time. *
> *That's the second law doing its thing, and unless you've got very good
> reason to think otherwise, you shouldn't be surprised that it is. *
> "Laws" are our deduction of the majority-observed phenomena.They do not
> regulate Nature: WE think they are Nature's laws. - So far...
> Yes of course. But we have to agree to some things in order to have a
meaningful discussion. Saying we may be wrong about the laws of physics is
not a good enough answer to my objections to Brent's use of Bayesian
arguments concerning his chance of finding himself at a particular age.
Could you address the point at issue rather than using "the mystical
> *All we're saying is that you should be unsurprised to find yourself
> living your life in ascending order. *
> Order? as we regulate our views (including those 'laws')
> *You have to pass through your current age at some point, unless you die
> first, and you should expect to do so before you reach a greater age. If at
> your current age you ask how probable it is that you are your current age,
> the answer is 1. If you're quantum immortal then you will have the same
> probability every time you ask yourself that question into the indefinite
> future. You are always 100% likely to be your present age...*
> Unless you dream... BTW "LIKELY is not = Probability 1. The P-word
> reflects on our PRESENT (very incomplete) views and does not include a
> sequence (if it is not '1').
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