I have been following the publicly available information on development of the 
various GenIV breeder variants. Am curious as to how much actual progress the 
Russians may have made in pursuing this one particular form – using molten lead 
as the heat transfer fluid (which is why they have such a high thermal 
efficiency at 43%). It may surprise some, but I am not opposed to the idea of 
nuclear power per se; though I do oppose systems that depend on active safety 
features in order to prevent a core meltdown… and I do have reasonable concerns 
about how waste products will be contained in sequestered facilities (or for 
some materials potentially getting re-processed getting burnt up in breeders)

The natural gas uptick in availability is a short duration bubble, resulting 
from highly capital, water and energy intensive production techniques that is 
squeezing out small marginal pockets of available fossil energy from a 
containing oil/gas bearing shale rock formation. I would not count on this long 
term – already there is a massive capital flight from this sector (that 
preceded the recent collapse in the global spot prices). 

Solar PV will continue to grow: For example, GlobalData, a well-known sector 
forecasting company that publishes forecasts on a wide variety of industry 
sectors and trends, published figures that show a trend line indicating that PV 
module capacity will grow from the current base of 135.66 GW installed by 2013 
to 413.98 GW in 2020, based on a number of factors, including volume trends, 
average price, and production share.

In another forecast, by this same information company, they estimate that 
investment in the global wind energy sector will rise to above $100 billion, 
driving up installed wind capacity from the current global figure of 364.9 
Gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 650.8 GW by 2020. This yields, a cumulative installed 
capacity for solar PV + wind of over a Terawatt by 2020. This does not include 
figures for CSP (concentrated solar thermal power) either, which is significant 
in some areas (California, Nevada, Spain)… and may (or may not) grow.

 

 

From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] 
Sent: Saturday, April 04, 2015 9:55 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

I have literally monitored developments for years that would return some form 
of nuclear fission as a safe possibility to be the main power source for the 
human species. It always sounds interestingly, and innovative, but never takes 
off to become a reality. Thorium, Molten Salt, Micro, Betavoltaic, subcritical 
reactors which switch off when a laser or proton beam stop, all the wonderful 
ideas, and more. But these things never leave the laboratory. I will not argue 
why this is true, or that its a total shame that it never takes off. I think at 
this late date, fusion, a different process,  will wait till the 22nd century, 
and for the next 85 years its going to be natural gas (argue about this later) 
or solar and wind. Electric cars power by solar and wind, factories, homes, and 
the rest of the slack taken up by natural gas. Tesla and Prius will eventually 
lead the way in transportation. Yes, this view is disappointing, but true. 



-----Original Message-----
From: 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List <[email protected]>
To: everything-list <[email protected]>
Sent: Sat, Apr 4, 2015 12:26 am
Subject: RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder 
design is being carried ahead in Russia.

 

An experimental lead-cooled nuclear reactor will be built at the Siberian 
Chemical Combine (SCC). If successful, the small BREST-300 unit could be the 
first of a new wave of Russian fast reactors.

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN_Fast_moves_for_nuclear_development_in_Siberia_0410121.html

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