You make a good point, and the performance of Deep Mind is very, very significant. However, there is still quite a large gap between what Deep Mind does and true AGI, and the obstacles that need to be dealt with to bridge that gap are pretty significant. That said, it sure looks like the 100 year estimates are looking to be pretty off. *And* we don't need to get to AGI before AI transforms the world. Wherever narrowly-defined domains can be exploited by AI that outperforms humans, look out.
On Tue, Apr 5, 2016 at 12:38 PM, John Clark <[email protected]> wrote: > Back in 1997 when a computer beat the world Chess champion Piet Hut, an > astrophysicist at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton said "It > may be a hundred years before a computer beats humans at Go — maybe even > longer. If a reasonably intelligent person learned to play Go, in a few > months he could beat all existing computer programs. You don’t have to be a > Kasparov”. About the same time science writer George Johnson said > "Defeating a human Go champion will be a sign that artificial intelligence > is truly beginning to become as good as the real thing.” But in today's > new York Times Johnson says "That doesn’t seem so true anymore", and then > in a orgie of sour grapes goes on to list the things that computers still > aren't good at and to claim that the things they are good at is a testament > to the genius of the computer's teachers not of the computer itself, so > it's not really a big deal. It just shows what I've been saying, the goal > post is always moving and true intelligence is whatever a computer isn't > good at, YET. > > John K Clark > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
