A recent  survey was conducted by the University of Oxford of 352 prominent
AI researchers , this is the average prediction on when they think AI will
outperform humans at var
​​
ious
​
tasks:

Translate  languages better than humans = 2024
Write high school level essays better than human high schoolers = 2026
Drive trucks better than humans = 2027
Work in retail = 2031
Write books = 2049
Perform surgery = 2053
Be better than humans at everything = 2062

​By the way, at about the same time another survey was ​taken that showed
7% of American adults think chocolate milk comes from brown cows.

John K Clark

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