On Thursday, March 1, 2018 at 9:27:59 PM UTC-6, agrays...@gmail.com wrote:
> On Thursday, March 1, 2018 at 1:29:38 PM UTC-5, Lawrence Crowell wrote:
>> On Wednesday, February 28, 2018 at 8:18:12 PM UTC-6, John Clark wrote:
>>> ​Crackpot conspiracy can never EVER be put to bed, they were not created 
>>> by logic so logic can not destroy them. 
>>> John K Clark 
>> Conspiracy ideas have a strange life of their own. People to this day 
>> still entertain ideas about grassy knolls and inside jobs with the JFK 
>> assassination. 9/11 conspiracy ideas are not as present these days, but 
>> still alive and well. These things only diminish over time if they cease to 
>> be relevant to most people.  It is related to the reason religions have a 
>> great longevity. 
> *If you look deeper, you will see some of what underlies the 911 
> conspiracy. CNN was videotaping when the second impact occurred, on Tower 1 
> IIRC. The video clearly shows a flash of white light at the moment of 
> impact. Some people claim it's evidence of an incendiary device onboard, 
> and thus a conspiracy. How would you explain it? I can, without a 
> conspiracy. My point here is not to glibly dismiss conspirators as 
> crackpots. There are often rational thoughts and analysis underlying most 
> conspiracies. AG *
> The argument over Sagan is interesting. I was at a meeting where he 
>> attended, though I had no close contact with him. I don't think he gave 
>> much quarter to the idea of UFOs and space aliens. He even said they 
>> appeared to be an aspect of inner space or the mind rather than outer 
>> space. 
> *I've sometimes entertained the idea that Sagan strongly disbelieved in 
> alien visitations primarily because he was never personally contacted. 
> Surely if they were in contact with humans, wouldn't he be the first to be 
> contacted? AG *
>> LC

Sagan was not terrible given to these ideas. Sagan continued to make the 
statement that extraordinary claims required extraordinary evidence. I am 
not sure this was just personal. I too have never had a UFO type of 
experience. I would not consider that as the strongest of negative evidence 
or evidence of absence. It is more anecdotal, just as most claims for UFOs 
are anecdotal. Sagan’s statement though is motivated I think by the 
seemingly extreme claim that some ETI spotted Earth from some considerable 
distance and managed to actually reach Earth. This is a very extreme set of 
circumstances; far more extreme than scenarios involving psychological 
inferences. The prospect of ETIs visiting Earth are not the same as most 
scientific hypotheses involving repeatable experiments. The only way it 
might be is if there are many thousands of ET bearing planets in this 
galaxy, and so far this seems to be not the case. There is little evidence 
of large scale ET based engineering out there and we have Fermi’s famous so 
called paradox. Outside of anecdotal and obscure accounts there is no 
evidence of ET visitations to Earth.



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