On Tue, May 15, 2018 at 6:50 PM, Lawrence Crowell <
[email protected]> wrote:

*​>​ Inductive reasoning involves recognizing some process and then
> thinking of some general principle.*


Inductive reasoning is much simpler than deductive reasoning, it simply
makes use of the rule of thumb that things usually continue. Its much more
universal than deductive reasoning too, all animals make use of it even
snails. If a snail is in pitch darkness and then suddenly a intense flash
of light occurs the mollusk will go into emergency mode and withdraw into
its shell; if however its not just a flash but the bright light is
continuous then bright light is now the new normal, the snail will assume
the light will continue and go back into normal mode and go about its
business doing whatever snails do. If then the light suddenly goes out and
does not continue then the snail will go into emergency mode again and
withdraw into its shell. In other words Evolution has programmed the snail
to assume that things usually continue, and when they don't continue danger
often follows so precautions need to be taken. Evolution has found that
this sort of program beats out a program that does absolutely nothing when
a flash happens or when everything suddenly goes dark, it beats a program
that does NOT assume that things usually continue.

Induction isn't perfect but it's pretty good, for example inductive
reasoning would say if John Clark doesn't exist today he won't exist
tomorrow either and if John Clark does exist today he will exist tomorrow
too. In the entire 13.8 billion year history of the universe induction
would only be wrong about that twice, on the day of my birth and on the day
of by death. So that's a pretty good rule of thumb.
​

John K Clark​

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