On 2/26/2020 5:25 PM, Lawrence Crowell wrote:
On Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 3:29:00 PM UTC-6, John Clark wrote:
Only 1.9% of the people who got the 1918 flu died of it, but so
many got sick it ended up killing 675,000 people in the USA alone
and 35 million worldwide. Because it's so new the death rate for
the Corvid 19 virus is more uncertain but it's estimated to be
between 2% and 6%, and it shows a disturbingly long incubation
period during which a person is infectious but displays no obvious
symptoms of being ill; it can be diagnosed with DNA detection kits
but those are in extremely short supply. Administering large
amounts of Corvid-19 antibodies would almost certainly cut the
death rate considerably but you'd need massive amounts of it and,
like DNA detection kits, we no longer have the infrastructure to
rapidly mass produce it.
Obama created a pandemic czar to deal with just this sort of thing
and to coordinate the activities of the various federal agencies,
but in the spring of 2018 the pandemic czar position was
eliminated and the entire chain of command was fired, and the
disease fighting budgets of the Centers for Disease Control, the
National Safety Council, the Department of Homeland Security, and
Health and Human Services was cut by 15 billion dollars. The
infrastructure can be rebuilt but that takes not just money but
also time, and that is time we may not have. In 2017 Bill Gates
told national security advisor H.R. McMaster that cutting the
disease fighting budgets of federal agencies would "/significantly
increase the probability of a large and lethal modern-day pandemic
occurring in our lifetimes/". Maybe Corvid-19 will just peter out
but I wouldn't count on it, it's looking increasingly likely that
Mr. Gates was right. We're not ready.
John K Clark
Never fear, t'Rump put Pence in front of this. Pence, a member of the
"Brotherhood" who want to restore theocracy, will pray a lot.
When it comes to science Republicans get everything wrong. Then to
make things worse they often have pseudoscience and ideas that "just
ain't so," that passes for what they think is science.
The Covid-19 appears to have a lethality of 2.3% of those who contract
this infection. The rate of infectivity is unknown. So with this
epidemic we might get a situation similar to the 1918 flu. The 1918
flu had a higher lethality rate because of pneumonia as a secondary
infection, and now that is curable and treatable. As I see things it
is possible that 1% of the world's population could die in the next
year and that amount to nearly 80 million people.
If you start to feel poorly, find your nearest Trump rally.
Brent
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