We are more likely to get better short wave gravitational wave modes from 
stellar mass black holes.

LC

On Saturday, September 3, 2022 at 9:47:46 PM UTC-5 [email protected] wrote:

> It should be great chance to see if there are any second and higher order 
> distortion in black hole collisions.  We don't have exact solutions 
> describing black hole mergers, so we know they quickly settle down to 
> simple ellipsoids (the no-hair theorem) but I would be good to know our 
> approximate solutions haven't thrown away some short wave ripples.
>
> Brent
>
>
> On 9/3/2022 7:19 AM, John Clark wrote:
>
> A prediction has been made that 2 supermassive black holes in a galaxy 1.1 
> billion light years away will collide within the next 3 years. The galaxy 
> has a core that is extremely bright in optical, ultraviolet and x-rays and 
> the interesting thing is the intensity of the radiation fluctuates and the 
> period of the fluctuations has been shortening, just three years ago the 
> fluctuation was about one year long but today it's only about one month. 
> There could be several reasons for this but the most obvious one is that 2 
> supermassive black holes, each with about 100,000,000 solar masses, had an 
> orbital period of one year back in 2019 but an orbital period of only one 
> month today; if that is indeed the case then they are orbiting faster and 
> faster and thus getting closer and closer together and should collide 
> sometime within the next 3 years, perhaps even this year. Such a collision 
> would produce enormously powerful gravitational waves but LIGO will not be 
> able to see them because the longest frequency wave it can detect is about 
> a 10th of a second and colliding supermassive Black Holes would produce 
> gravitational waves with a period of hours or days; however such waves 
> might be detectable by observing simultaneous tiny changes in the frequency 
> of pulsars located in widely separated places; this is because the 
> gravitational waves would slightly move the Earth and thus slightly change 
> the observed frequency of the pulsars in a way that was consistent with 
> their location relative to us. 
>
> The great thing about this prediction is that we'll know if it's right or 
> wrong within the next 3 years.
>
> Tick-Tock: The Imminent Merger of a Supermassive Black Hole Binary 
> <https://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.11633.pdf>
>
> John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> bb9
>
>
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