On Friday, December 2, 2022 at 6:50:26 PM UTC-6 jessem wrote:
The wiki page on the Hubble parameter also says in the section at 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble%27s_law#Time-dependence_of_Hubble_parameter
 
that the expansion seems to be accelerating in such a way that the first 
derivative of the scale factor a(t) is increasing over time but the Hubble 
parameter H(t) is decreasing, and that this has the implication "The 
recession velocity of one chosen galaxy does increase, but different 
galaxies passing a sphere of fixed radius cross the sphere more slowly at 
later times". There's a more technical discussion of how these parameters 
are defined at 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_expansion_of_the_universe#Technical_definition
 
which mentions that physicists define "accelerating expansion" specifically 
in terms of the second derivative of the scale factor being positive, it 
doesn't require an increasing Hubble parameter.

That is the case. The Hubble constant is determined by the cosmological 
constant, and this gives an exponential law for the expansion of the 
universe. For a distance d the law for velocity is v = exp(Hd) - 1 = Hd + 
(Hd)^2/2 + ... , where for small enough d = distance v = Hd, which is the 
classic Hubble law. However, we may be faced with a variable Hubble 
constant, and data might suggest it is increasing. This means the 
accelerated expansion will asymptote to a divergence in a finite time in 
the future. The exponential acceleration will itself increase so that 
galaxies are shredded, then star systems, then stars, then planets, then 
atoms and hadrons as everything approaches a singularity with temperature T 
--> 0. It could be that in a few trillion years the entire universe will 
reach this singularity. The discrepancy between the CMB and SN1 data is 
beginning to suggest something odd about the expansion of the universe. It 
is not just dark energy, but phantom energy and the whole universe will 
reach a big rip.

LC
 

On Fri, Dec 2, 2022 at 4:15 AM Alan Grayson <[email protected]> wrote:
It's measured about 70 km/sec/megaparsec. This is a direct measurement 
using red shift to measure recessional velocity, and different standard 
candles depending on the distance. So, at a distance of one megaparsec, the 
expansion rate is 70 km/sec; at two megaparsecs the expansion rate is 140 
km/sec; and so on. This suggests the rate of expansion is greater as we go 
back in time; or conversely, that the rate of expansion is slower as we go 
forward in time. How is this reconciled with the 1998 measurements that the 
rate of expansion is actually speeding up? AG 

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