On Wed, Jun 26, 2024 at 3:33 PM PGC <[email protected]> wrote:

> it's crucial to remember that beating benchmarks or covering a wide range
> of conversational topics does not equate to general intelligence


Why not?! Claude can cover a WIDE range of topics but it's still NARROW??
It's interesting that nobody had a problem with any of these benchmarks
just a few years ago when most people thought it would be centuries or
never before a computer could pass any of them, but now that computers have
blown past almost all of those benchmarks one after the other all of a
sudden people are now saying those benchmarks were never any good. I think
that's just whistling past the graveyard.

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
wpg



Your excitement about Claude 3.5 Sonnet's performance is understandable.
> It's an impressive development, but it's crucial to remember that beating
> benchmarks or covering a wide range of conversational topics does not
> equate to general intelligence. I wish we lived in a context where I could
> encourage you to provide evidence for your claims about AI capabilities and
> future predictions but Claude, OpenAI, etc are... not exactly open.
>
> Then we could discuss empirical data and trends instead of betting: I
> don't know what the capability ceiling is, for narrow AI development behind
> closed doors now or in the next years, nor have I pretended to.
> Wide/general is not narrow/specific and brittle. But I am happy for you if
> you feel that you can converse intelligently with it; I know what you mean.
> For my taste its a tad obsequious and not very original, i.e. I am
> providing all the originality of the conversation that some large
> corporation is sucking up without getting paid for it.
>
>
> *I don't want clever conversationI never want to work that hard, mmm - *Billy
> Joel
> On Monday, June 24, 2024 at 11:02:05 PM UTC+2 John Clark wrote:
>
>> On Mon, Jun 24, 2024 at 10:00 AM PGC <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>
>>> *> And for everybody here assuming the Mechanist ontology, which implies
>>> the Strong AI thesis, i.e. the assertion that a machine can think,*
>>>
>>
>> I don't know about everybody but I certainly have that view because the
>> only alternative is vitalism, the idea that only life, especially human
>> life, has a special secret sauce that is not mechanistic, that is to say
>> does not follow the same laws of physics as non-living things.  And that
>> view has been thoroughly discredited since 1859 when Darwin wrote "The
>> Origin Of Species".
>>
>>
>>
>>> *> I am curious as to why any of you would assume that general
>>> intelligence and mind would arise from a narrow AI.*
>>>
>>
>> If a human could converse with you as intelligently as Claude can in such
>> a wide number of unrelated topics you would never call his range of
>> interest narrow, but because Claude's brain is hard and dry and not soft
>> and squishy you do.  I'll tell you what let's make a bet, I bet that an AI
>> will win the International Mathematical Olympiad in less than 3 years,
>> perhaps much less. I also bet that in less than 3 years the main political
>> issue in every major country will not be unlawful immigration or crime or
>> even an excess in wokeness, it will be what to do about AI which is taking
>> over jobs at an accelerating rate.  What do you bet?
>>
>>
>>
>> bwu
>>
>>
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