On Wed, Feb 5, 2025 at 6:39 PM Quentin Anciaux <allco...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Brent,
>
> You say that unrealized possibilities are what probabilities quantify, but
> in a single-history framework, those possibilities never had any existence
> beyond the formalism. If only one history is real, then all other
> possibilities were never actually possible in any meaningful way—they were
> never real candidates for realization, just mathematical constructs. That’s
> not an emotive argument; it’s pointing out that the entire notion of
> probability in such a framework is detached from anything real.
>
> If probability is supposed to quantify real possibilities, then in a world
> where only one history exists for all eternity, what exactly is being
> quantified? If an event with a calculated probability of 50% never happens
> in this one history, then its true probability was always 0%. Your
> framework claims to allow for multiple possibilities, but in practice, it
> only ever realizes one, making the rest nothing more than empty labels.
>
> And you assert that alternatives have a "grounding in reality"—but what
> does that mean in a framework where they never actually happen? If they had
> a genuine grounding, they would have to be part of reality in some form,
> even if only probabilistically. But in a single-history framework, that
> never happens. The probabilities exist only in the mind of the observer,
> with no external ontological reality. They are tools that describe nothing
> but a retrospective justification of what already happened.
>
> The supposed "problem" in MWI—that all possibilities are realized—actually
> solves this issue. It gives probabilities a real basis in the structure of
> the universe rather than treating them as abstract bookkeeping. The
> probabilities describe real distributions across real histories rather than
> referring to things that were never real to begin with.
>
> The single-world view wants to use probability while simultaneously
> denying the existence of the things probability refers to. That’s not just
> emotive talk—it’s a contradiction at the foundation of the framework.
>
> Quentin
>

Have you ever heard of repeated experiments?

Bruce

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