Le jeu. 6 févr. 2025, 00:46, Brent Meeker <meekerbr...@gmail.com> a écrit :

>
>
>
> On 2/5/2025 12:53 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
> Bruce,
>
> Repeated experiments don’t change the core issue. Even if you perform an
> experiment a trillion times, in a single-history universe, there is still
> only one realized sequence of outcomes. That means certain possibilities
> with greater than zero probability will simply never happen—not just in a
> given run, but ever.
>
> So you want to count distributions over inaccessible worlds who's only
> claim on existence is they keep all the solutions to Schroedingers
> equation.  But you  don't want to count distributions over time because you
> can think of them as a sequence...even though the probabilities applied to
> single events.
>
> Brent
>

Brent,

The difference is fundamental: distributions over time in a single-history
universe are not the same as distributions over actualized possibilities.
In a single-history world, time only ever produces one sequence of events.
If an outcome with a supposed 10% probability never occurs, then in what
sense was it ever truly a possibility? It wasn’t—it was just a number
assigned to something that never happened and never was going to happen in
this one realized history.

In contrast, in a framework where all possibilities are realized,
probability retains its full meaning because it describes the structure of
the wavefunction across all branches. The distribution is not just an
abstract mathematical expectation—it corresponds to actual occurrences. The
probabilities aren’t just numbers assigned before an event; they describe
real proportions of outcomes across reality.

You claim I “don’t want to count distributions over time,” but that’s not
the issue. The issue is that in a single-history universe, probability is
always a retrospective descriptor with no causal power. You act as if
probability applies to single events in isolation, but that only works if
you assume that unrealized possibilities somehow “mattered” despite never
actually happening. That’s the contradiction: single-history probability
calculations reference things that were never part of reality, yet claim to
describe reality.

If you want to argue that probability is meaningful in a single-history
framework, then explain this: if an outcome has a calculated probability of
10% but never occurs in the one and only history that unfolds, was it ever
a real possibility? If yes, then where is that possibility? If no, then
what was probability actually describing?

Quentin

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