Le mar. 18 févr. 2025, 00:32, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a
écrit :

> On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 10:13 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> Le mar. 18 févr. 2025, 00:05, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> a
>> écrit :
>>
>>> On Tue, Feb 18, 2025 at 9:51 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>> If you assign probability to horse X winning, you are describing
>>>> uncertainty before the race is run, which is exactly the point. In standard
>>>> probability, that uncertainty is about a single outcome being realized. In
>>>> MWI, it’s about which branch an observer will find themselves in.
>>>>
>>>
>>> And how many branches is that? It is just about a single outcome being
>>> realized. Other possibilities are not realized. Same as with probability --
>>> One thing happens, others don't.
>>>
>>
>> In a single-history universe, unrealized possibilities are nothing more
>> than fiction, they never happen, never will, and have no causal impact on
>> reality. Why invoke entities that don’t exist and never will to explain the
>> one outcome that does? That’s not an explanation, it’s just storytelling.
>>
>>
>>> The key question isn’t whether probability exists before measurement,
>>>> it’s why the observer should expect the Born rule to govern the
>>>> distribution of experiences. If you dismiss self-locating uncertainty, then
>>>> what mechanism in a purely unitary framework explains why we don’t see
>>>> uniform distributions or some other weighting instead of Born’s rule?
>>>>
>>>
>>> Why do you expect to see outcomes conforming to the Born probabilities?
>>>
>>
>> Because experiments consistently confirm the Born probabilities. The
>> question isn’t whether they hold, it’s why they hold in a purely unitary
>> framework. In a single-world view, you assume the Born rule as a
>> fundamental postulate. In MWI, it should emerge naturally, but without a
>> clear derivation, it remains an open problem
>>
>>
>>> In a single-world framework, the supposed ensemble of possible outcomes
>>>> is purely imaginary, it never happens, it never will, and it has no more
>>>> reality than a work of fiction. Treating these unrealized possibilities as
>>>> if they have explanatory power is just storytelling, not a real mechanism.
>>>>
>>>
>>> You are obsessed with 'mechanisms'. This is quantum mechanics, not 19th
>>> century rods-and-wires stuff. What is the "mechanism" of gravity? With
>>> Newton we can reasonably say *Hypotheses non fingo!*
>>>
>>
>> Physics has always sought deeper explanations beyond just stating “this
>> is how things happen.” Newton could say hypotheses non fingo because his
>> equations worked without additional assumptions. But if unitary evolution
>> is all there is, why should probability emerge at all, and why should it
>> follow Born’s rule? Dismissing this as an unnecessary question is just
>> assuming what needs to be explained.
>>
>
> Anyone who has experience of dealing with small children, knows that there
> can always be an endless sequence of "why?" questions. The trouble is that
> such sequences always end up with something like "why am I who I am and not
> someone else?" Some questions simply have no answers.
>
> As I have pointed out, MWI is inconsistent with the Born rule, so looking
> for an explanation of the Born rule in MWI is rather silly.
>

You did not, you're just assuming what you want to prove.

Quentin


> Bruce
>
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