Oil Prices Rise to New High Above $57
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Published: April 1, 2005

Oil prices rallied to a record close above $57 a barrel Friday,
sparked by a surge in gasoline futures that could send the average
retail cost of gasoline above $2.25 a gallon within a few weeks.

Another factor appeared to be an investment bank report that said
strong demand and tight supplies could cause a ``super spike'' that
will push oil prices above $100 a barrel.

After climbing as high as $57.70 a barrel, a new intraday high, light,
sweet crude for May delivery settled at $57.27 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange, an increase of $1.87.

Oil prices are now 67 percent higher than a year ago, but still well
below the inflation-adjusted high above $90 a barrel set in 1980.

Oil analyst Marshall Steeves of Refco Group Inc. in New York said the
rally in fuel prices is ``overdone.''

``I don't think the sky's the limit,'' Steeves said. ``At some point,
there'll be some impact on demand. But where that price is, is hard to
determine.''


Several analysts have been critical of an extremely bullish report
that Goldman Sachs distributed to the media on Thursday, saying it
created unreasonable fear in the market. The report said that oil
prices could go as high as $105 a barrel -- the price Goldman Sachs
said may be necessary to significantly curb energy consumption.

Goldman Sachs analyst Arjun Murti said factors contributing to the
run-up in prices include geopolitical turmoil in oil-producing countries.

``Oil markets may have entered the early stages of what we have
referred to as a 'super spike' period -- a multiyear trading band of
oil prices high enough to meaningfully reduce energy consumption and
recreate a spare capacity cushion only after which will lower energy
prices return,'' the report said.

Other analysts said they would expect a slowdown in demand well before
that point, and that oil producing nations already have plenty of
economic incentive to add more supply to the market.

Oil analyst Victor Shum of Texas-based Purvin & Gertz in Singapore
said the chances of crude oil reaching $105 a barrel were slim.

*********************
``It will take a confluence of many events to happen,'' he said. ``For
example, if oil reserves in Saudi Arabia were significantly destroyed,
then we could see a spike.''
***********************

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures climbed 4.77 cents to
settle at a record $1.6638 per gallon, while natural gas futures rose
9.6 cents to $7.749 per 1,000 cubic feet.

------

Associated Press Writer Wee Sui Lee in Singapore contributed to this
report.





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