I agree that anything approaching these figures would be a
stunning proof of a clear effect of directionality.  But the research 
cannot be done by people with a HUGE motivation to find a particular
result.  There is no credibility in that case.

Even if the figure is correct, there are a large number of other
factors that need to be eliminated.  What neighborhoods were
considered, for example?  Were houses with different directions
equally distributed in such neighborhoods?  It would be real
easy to skew the results by taking all the south-facing houses
from low-income neighborhoods and comparing them to the
east-facing houses in gated, high-income neighborhoods.

And a researcher with enough motivation to come up with a
particular result might not even notice they were making
skewed choices.

--- In [email protected], "Bob Brigante" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> --- In [email protected], "Cliff" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
> wrote:
> > 
> > Why does it strike me as nearly 100% certain that if all the 
> details were
> > known on this "research", that it would turn out to be much like a 
> > thoroughly rotten beam - impressive to look at, but without much 
> > substance?
> 
> Possibly one item that causes your certainty is the jokey claim 
> inserted by Dixon that winning lottery tix were sold in east facing 
> bldgs...
> 
> Only a much larger study would find any credibility in the scientific 
> community, but a very large study could be definitive, I think, if 
> any number even close to the 75% more burglaries that Travis found 
> were found in a large study.
> 






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