The Card Clinton Is Playing

By Eugene Robinson
Friday, May 9, 2008; Page A27
>From the beginning, Hillary Clinton has campaigned as if the Democratic 
>nomination were 
hers by divine right. That's why she is falling short -- and that's why she 
should be 
persuaded to quit now, rather than later, before her majestic sense of 
entitlement splits 
the party along racial lines.

If that sounds harsh, look at the argument she made Wednesday, in an interview 
with USA 
Today, as to why she should be the nominee instead of Barack Obama. She cited 
an 
Associated Press article "that found how Senator Obama's support . . . among 
working, 
hardworking Americans, white Americans, is weakening again. I have a much 
broader 
base to build a winning coalition on."

As a statement of fact, that's debatable at best. As a rationale for why 
Democratic Party 
superdelegates should pick her over Obama, it's a slap in the face to the 
party's most 
loyal constituency -- African Americans -- and a repudiation of principles the 
party 
claims to stand for. Here's what she's really saying to party leaders: There's 
no way that 
white people are going to vote for the black guy. Come November, you'll be 
sorry.

How silly of me. I thought the Democratic Party believed in a colorblind 
America.

In private conversations last year, several of Clinton's high-profile African 
American 
supporters made that same argument to me -- that America wasn't "ready" for a 
black 
president, that this simple fact doomed Obama to failure, that a Clinton 
Restoration was 
the best result that African Americans could realistically hope for. Polls at 
the time 
showed Clinton leading Obama among black voters, a finding that reflected not 
only 
Clinton's greater name recognition but also considerable skepticism about a 
black 
candidate's ability to draw white support.

Obama did prove he could win support from whites, of course, beginning in Iowa. 
He and 
Clinton effectively divided the party into demographic constituencies. Among 
the groups 
that have tended to vote for Clinton are white voters making less than $50,000 
a year; 
among those who have turned out to vote for Obama are African Americans, whose 
doubts about his prospects clearly have been allayed.

Assuming that Obama is the eventual nominee, he will have some work to do in 
reuniting 
the party. But there's no reason to think he won't succeed -- unless Clinton 
drives a 
wedge between important elements of the party's historical coalition.

Lower-income white Democrats may well defect to John McCain in the fall if 
Obama is the 
nominee, Clinton is arguing, whereas African Americans -- who have been 
choosing 
Obama by 9 to 1 -- are going to vote for the Democratic nominee no matter what. 
Thus, 
she claims, she can better knit the party back together.

Let's examine those premises. These are white Democrats we're talking about, 
voters who 
generally share the party's philosophy. So why would these Democrats refuse to 
vote for a 
nominee running on Democratic principles against a self-described conservative 
Republican? The answer, which Clinton implies but doesn't quite come out and 
say, is that 
Obama is black -- and that white people who are not wealthy are irredeemably 
racist.

The other notion -- that Clinton could position herself as some kind of Great 
White Hope 
and still expect African American voters to give her their enthusiastic support 
in the fall -
- is just nuts. Obama has already won a majority of the Democratic primary 
contests; 
within a couple of weeks, he almost certainly will have won a majority of the 
pledged 
convention delegates and will be assured of finishing with more of the popular 
vote. Only 
in Camp Clinton does anyone believe that his supporters will be happy if party 
leaders tell 
him, in effect, "Nice job, kid, but we can't give you the nomination because, 
well, you're 
black. White people might not like that."

Clinton's sin isn't racism, it's arrogance. From the beginning, the Clinton 
campaign has 
refused to consider the possibility that Obama's success was more than a fad. 
This was 
supposed to be Clinton's year, and if Obama was winning primaries, there had to 
be some 
reason that had nothing to do with merit. It was because he was black, or 
because he had 
better slogans, or because he was a better public speaker, or because he was 
the media's 
darling. This new business about white voters is just the latest story the 
Clinton campaign 
is telling itself about the usurper named Obama.

"It's still early," Clinton said Wednesday, vowing to fight on. At some level, 
she seems to 
believe the nomination is hers. Somebody had better tell her the truth before 
she burns 
the house down.

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