I would postulate that the movement we are seeing in the polls is because up until a couple of weeks ago 80% of the voting population had decided while the remaining 20%, largely swing and independent voters, had not. The prior fluidity in the polls was the movement in opinion, both ways, of that 20%. That key 20 % is now rapidly coalescing, largely for Obama.
No clear correlation exists, but the beginning of the time frame in which the polls substantively firmed was the Monday that McCain declared that the fundamentals of the economy are sound. Again, not not cause and effect but the timing is clear. I mailed my early ballot yesterday and settled in to watch the debate and history being made. The process is fascinating to me. Reading the signs of the times. In my small neighborhood an occasional Obama yard sign sprouts and is gone gone in 24 hours. It is almost metaphorical that they disappear during the darkness of night. --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "do.rflex" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > CBS: Uncommitted Voters Favor Obama 40-26 > > http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/08/politics/2008debates/main4508430.shtml > > > CNN: Obama won the night 54-30, with Independent's preferring Obama 54-28. > > http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-poll-obama-won-the-night/ > > > NBC: Who Won The Debate? Clean Sweep For Obama 60-40 > > Survey USA Obama 54-29 > > Both of the above results here: > http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/07/who-won-the-debate- insta_n_132827.html > > > GQR: Undecided Voters Move Decisively Toward Obama 42-26 > > http://www.greenbergresearch.com/index.php?ID=2257 >
