Hey man, shit happens!
________________________________ From: Bhairitu <noozg...@sbcglobal.net> To: FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com Sent: Monday, October 15, 2012 5:36 PM Subject: Re: [FairfieldLife] Fwd: Las Vegas Odds And if Obama wins are you going to riot? On 10/15/2012 05:06 PM, Mike Dixon wrote: > Bingo! It's hard to be enthusiastic for Hope-n-Change again with a record like > Obama'sover the past four years. Republicans and other conservative/moderates > are chomping on their bits to vote, unlike the many that refused to support > McCain. I'm more inclined to think it will be a blow-out like Carter/Reagan. > > *From:* wleed3 <mailto:WLeed3%40aol.com> > *To:* mailto:fairfieldlife%40yahoogroups.com > *Sent:* Monday, October 15, 2012 4:49 PM > *Subject:* [FairfieldLife] Fwd: Las Vegas Odds > > ----- Forwarded Message ----- > > > > Begin forwarded message: > > > *From: *Diane Erb <mailto:teetime1843%40aol.com > > <mailto:mailto:teetime1843%40aol.com>> > > *Date: *October 15, 2012 8:23:32 AM EDT > > *Subject: **Las Vegas Odds* > > > > 3 weeks to go...... > > > > *_DIRECT_****_FROM_****_CAESAR’S_*< span > > > > class="ecxyiv1985854905ecxyiv635606141apple-converted-space">***_PALACE_** > > > > > > A Las Vegas "odds maker" gives his reasons for big win by Romney in > > November. > > > > Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or > > prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I > > am neither. > > I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known > > Vegas odds maker with one of the most accurate records of predicting > > political races. > > > > But as an odds maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking > > political races, I play no favorites. _I__simply__use__common__sense_to > > call them as I see them.* > > > > * > > Back in late December I released my New Year's Predictions. I > > predicted back then - before a single GOP primary had been held, > > with > > Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor**from* > > *Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt - that Romney would easily rout > > his > > competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also > > predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney > > would be very close until election day. But that on election day > > Romney would win by a landslidesimilar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.** > > > > **Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a > > resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, > > Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. > > Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most > > pollsters > > give Obama the edge ?** > > > > **First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient - common sense. > > Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 > > years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. > > But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years > > ago > > are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. > > Voters know Obama now - and that is a bad harbinger.* > > * > > ** > > ******_Black_****_voters_**. Obama has nowhere to go but down > > among > > this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many > > black > > church-going Christians. > > He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. > > This > > is not good news for Obama.* > > > > *****_Jewish_****_voters_**. Obama has been weak in his support of > > Israel. Many Jewish vo ters and big donors are angry and > > disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in > > 2008 to the low 60's. > > This is not good news for Obama. > > ** > > ********_Youth_****_voters_**. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic > > believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from > > hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad > > combination. > > The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among > > young > > voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for > > Obama. > > ** > > ********_Catholic_****_voters_**. Obama won a majority of > > Catholics > > in 2008. That won't happen again. Out of desperation to please > > women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over > > contraception. > > Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This > > is not good news for Obama.** > > > > ********_Small_****_Business_****_owners_**. Because I ran for > > Vice > > President last timearound, and I'm a small businessman myself, I > > know > > literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them > > in my circle of friends, fans > > and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to give someone > > different a > > chance. As I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism > > and demonize anyone who owned a business . . . that he'd support > > unions over the > > private sector in a big way . . . that he'd overwhelm the economy > > with > > spending and debt. My friends didn't listen. Four years later, > > I > > can't find one person in my circle of small business owner friends > > voting for Obama. > > Not one. This is not good news for Obama.** > > > > ********_Blue_****_collar_****_working_****_class_****_whites_**. > > Do I need to say a thing ? White working class voters are about as > > happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York > > Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.** > > > > ********_Suburban_****_moms_**. The issue isn't contraception, > > it's > > having a job to pay for contraception. Obama's economy frightens > > these > > moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They > > fear > > for their children's future. > > This is not good news for Obama.* > > > > *******_Military_****_Veterans_**. McCain won this group by 10 > > points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military > > vets > > got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good > > news for Obama.* > > * > > Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since > > 2008**?*** > > * > > Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying, I didn't vote > > for Obama 4 years ago, but he's done such a fantastic job, I can't > > wait to vote for him today**?** Does anyone feel that a vote for > > Obama makes their job more secure**?** > > > > **_ > > Forget_****_the_****_polls_**. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds > > maker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a > > historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama's radical > > and risky socialist agenda.* > > * > > It's Reagan-Carter all over again.** > > > > **_But I'll give Obama credit for one thing_****/. . ._he is living > > proof that familiarity breeds contempt_/**/! !/* > > God please let this be true, but don't give up the fight, keep > > helping > > in any and every way possible to make this dream come true. > > > > >
