http://www.guttmacher.org/pubs/state_ab_pt/district_of_columbia.pdf
Drawing on the work of economist Steven Levitt, U of Chicago, showing a causal relationship between abortions and crime rates 16-22 years later, the aborion rates in DC during the 70s are an important factor in understanding crime rate trends in DC. The rate for violent crimes was cut in half from the mid 90's to the present. Looking at abortion rates per 1000 women in DC in the 70's the rate was about 10 times the national average 250 in 1973 and around 200 for most of the 70's compared to a national rate of around 25- 30. Thus, lagged abortion it would appear, is part quite an important factor to control for when evaluating the impact of other crime reduction factors. Ignoring lagged abortion rates will tend to overstamake any crime reduction measure being evaluated in the 1990-2000 time frame. I will add abortion rates in DC broken down by age cohort, as control variables in the previous discussed ME regression model and see how this affects ME impacts. ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Get fast access to your favorite Yahoo! Groups. Make Yahoo! your home page http://us.click.yahoo.com/dpRU5A/wUILAA/yQLSAA/JjtolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
