--- In [email protected], Vaj <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> 
> On Jan 9, 2006, at 10:20 AM, authfriend wrote:
> 
> > --- In [email protected], Vaj <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> >>
> >>
> >> On Jan 8, 2006, at 8:29 PM, sparaig wrote:
> >>
> >>
> >>> The ME theory is a large numbers theory. The crime rate of
> >>>
> > Fairfield
> >
> >>> could be skewed by having a single pickpocket living among the
> >>> sidhas. For that matter, the traffic accident rate during the
> >>>
> > Taste
> >
> >>> of Utopia course could go up because the town's adult population
> >>>
> > more
> >
> >>> than doubled (tripled) during that time. To accurately measure 
the
> >>> predicted claims of the ME, you would need a much larger
> >>>
> > statistical
> >
> >>> sample population for them to effect than Fairfield, IA, like
> >>> Washington, DC.
> >>>
> >>>
> >>
> >> Just another TB rationalization to avoid accepting the obvious.
> >>
> >
> > Not real familiar with statistical principles,
> > are you?
> 
> Trained in advanced statistics...does that count?

Then you're well aware that a theory thought to measureably apply to 
very large populations might not have a measureable effect on 
relatively small populations.

> 
> The variables he mentioned could be accounted for--and the TMO is  
> certainly adept at number crunching and ambiguation.
> 
> The fact that Crystal Meth is on the increase in the areas all 
around  
> FF might be harder to hide.

But what has that to do with the ME?

> 
> Maybe attracting factory Hog Farms is actually what CCP's do? Like  
> mosquitoes to a light bulb?
> 
> While the ME is an interesting hypothesis, that's all it really is 
at  
> this point. Since repetition of these studies seems rather 
unlikely,  
> it most likely will just remain fringe- or pseudo-science. But for  
> some people it will be hard to let go of these dreams of glory 
daze  
> and rising sunshine.
>

Should anyone ever been seen floating during a YF competition, and 
James Randi forced to pay up his $1 million challenge, the ME might 
well be revisited in a big way by the larger scientific community.






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