>
> --- In [email protected], TurquoiseB <no_reply@> wrote:
> > An example, directly related to theater attendance.
> > The last time I was in L.A., I wanted to see a
> > movie so I went to Westwood, the area near UCLA
> > just filled (in my memory) with bustling crowds,
> > nice restaurants, and movie theaters. Well, I got
> > there, parked, and started walking around. There
> > were no crowds, even though it was a Friday night.
> > The restaurants were near-empty. So were the movie
> > theaters; no waiting on line to get in, and when
> > you did, you found yourself sitting in a half-
> > empty theater.
> >
> > I couldn't help but wonder why, so I asked.
>
> A distiction between magical thinkers and rational thinkers is the
> former tend to far more mistake correlation for causation. As Kurtz
> points out, the corrleation of a prayer with a good outcome, does not
> indicate causation. Only correlation.
>
[...]
>
> Magical thinking, "knowing" that correlated things are causal --
> especially when its felt to be "self-evident" are not solely the
> domain of the religious right, or uneducated. It permeates society.
> Even this list.
>
Scientists are by no means immune to this. The scientific method is supposed to reduce
the incidence, but all theories assume _propter hoc_ so there's always the risk of the _post
hoc_ fallacy.
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