I was not trying to be snide at all, but was just pointing out what the market has been doing recently, and only recently. I am interested in seeing if the market goes up during the first big course in quite a while, but it looked pretty obvious to me that the market has been in a trading range and, having just reached a previous pivot, may drop back to the recent lows. Usually, a trading range will have about three bottom pivots and three top pivots before the market breaks out for a prolonged trend higher or lower. That's just how the market trades. That's why I suggested looking at a recent chart. I was going to provide a link, but I did not think it would work properly. I did not look at any of your past data. I didn't even know you had charts up. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?c=$spx,uu[h,a]daolniay[pb7!b21!f][vc60][iut] --- "new.morning" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, gullible fool > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > > If you look at an actual chart, > > I am not sure why you feel the need for snideness. > The link I refer to > has a number charts I created. Perhaps you should > look at the link. > > And this particular post to which you are responding > refers to about > 10 potential TMO impacts from 1967 to present. So > your, your reponse > to this post is um, "incoherent". :) > > Thus I assume you are actually commenting about > prior posts, on > another thread, refering to this last week being the > largest gain in > two years, 3%. > > Sure this last weeks gains are in the upper part of > a trading range > since June. My charts, if you would look, were > constructed to identify > long-run trendlines going back to 2003 and to see if > the current > course has an impact outside the index's long-run > trend. > > If it breaks out of its two month trading range this > next week it will > be as interesting as this week 2-year largest gain. > > And beyond that, as I say on the blog that has the > charts, > > "With a 5% additional rise in the next several weeks > would, the index > would cross its long run (statistical) > regression-based trendline, > that is, its movement would be indicative of a > normal correction > towards equillibrium. > > With a 20% additional rise of the index over the > next 10 weeks or so, > the index would exceed its upper 1 standard > deviation bound -- the > general boundary for deviations of the index from > its long-run trend > line. This would be indicative of a possible > SIGNIFICANT effect from > the course, and not simply the index following its > long run trend, > with normal deviations. > > If the 20% + rise increase over the next 6-10 weeks > did occur, > breaking its normal deviation from its long run > trend, and assuming > the course continues that long, and if after the end > of course the > index declined back below its long-run statistical > trendline, it would > be noteworthy." > > > >you'll see that the SP > > index is merely at the upper end of a trading > range. > > If the buying does not continue, it may return > back > > down to 1224. > > > > > --- "new.morning" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > wrote: > > > > > http://2006-course-effects.blogspot.com/ > > > > > > Holy Shit!!! Maybe this thing is real. :) > > > > > > I looked at the major Intro Courses, Rounding > and > > > Yogic Flying courses > > > in relation to S&P500. At first glance, there > > > appears to be a > > > phenomenal correlation. See graph on link. > Verticl > > > lines indicate > > > start of new major TMO initiative. Text > descriptor > > > for each verticl > > > line begins to the immeidiate right of each > vertical > > > bar. > > > > > > However, the market has been in a long-run > upward > > > trend since the > > > beginning of the graph (1960) and coincidence > cannot > > > be ruled out. > > > Correlation is not causation. > > > > > > The case for causation become strong if the > market > > > reverses when major > > > courses are reduced or stopped. One example of > this > > > is the period > > > 1973-1975, after Mallorca I&II , Fuigii and > initial > > > La Antilla -- when > > > the emphasis was on starting MIU -- and less on > > > intro and TTC/rounding > > > courses. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > To subscribe, send a message to: > > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > Or go to: > > > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ > > > and click 'Join This Group!' > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > __________________________________________________ > > Do You Yahoo!? > > Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam > protection around > > http://mail.yahoo.com > > > > > > > > > To subscribe, send a message to: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Or go to: > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ > and click 'Join This Group!' > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around http://mail.yahoo.com To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
