Appeal to FEAR, as usual.
--- In [email protected], "larry.potter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > Tehran and Damascus are gearing up for a pre-emptive Syrian attack on > Israel to ward off a US strike on Iran's nuclear sites > > > [http://www.debka.com/photos/3357.jpg] > Our military and Washington sources read as preparatory justification > the Syrian ruler Bashar Asad's statement Saturday, Oct. 7, that he > expects an Israeli attack. > > He was speaking in an interview to Kuwaiti paper al-Anba. > > Asad's Iranian-backed war plan would serve the purpose of forcing > the Americans to divide their military assets between a strike against > Iran and the defense of their allies in the Persia Gulf, Israel and US > forces in Iraq. Both are seriously looking at a Syrian attack on the > Golan which would escalate into a full-blown Syrian-Israeli war and a > second Hizballah assault from Lebanon. > > Asad's remark that during the Lebanon hostilities, he was under > pressure from the Syrian population to go to war against Israel and > liberate the Golan is the most direct threat of belligerency of all his > four Golan statements in the last month. He is implying that he stood up > to the pressure once but may not do so again. And for the benefit of the > Americans, the Europeans, the Saudis and the Egyptians - all of whom are > pretty fed up with him Asad is posing as the picture of > self-restraint; anyone else in his place, he implies, would have taken > advantage of the Lebanon war and made a grab for the Golan. Therefore, > he is saying, he deserves to be treated with the respect due to a > strategic asset by Western and moderate Arab powers instead of being > targeted for an ouster. > > The Syrian ruler would not threaten war without guarantees from Iran. > According to DEBKAfile's sources, Asad and Iran's supreme ruler > Ayatollah Ali Khamenei are prompted by the following motives: > > 1. Tehran is not prepared to wait passively for the Americans to build > up their assault force in the Gulf and strike its nuclear facilities. A > pre-emptive attack would suit them better. > > 2. Tehran and Damascus have not missed the debilitating crisis in which > Israel's political and military leadership are sunk since the > Lebanon war. They do not propose to wait until the IDF pulls itself > together enough to handle fresh aggression. > > 3. Both accept Israel's deputy prime minister Shimon Peres' > assessment that Israel's cities are not prepared for missile attack. > Iran and Syria take it for granted that Israeli leaders understand they > cannot afford to launch missiles against either one of them for fear of > reprisal in kind. > > 4. Syria believes that if Hizballah could stand up to the Israeli army > in Lebanon, its commandoes can capture sections of the Golan and walk > off with an easy victory. > > 5. Tehran figures that the Bush administration is coming to the end of > its patience in Iraq and preparing for a major review of its position > there. The influential U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman, > John Warner, said Friday that Iraq's government had 60 to 90 days to > control the violence that threatens civil war or the United States would > have to reconsider its options. This gives the Maliki government in > Baghdad up to December or January to de-escalate if not halt the > sectarian war engulfing the country. > > Iran, Syria and Hizballah would not be averse to disrupting the American > Iraq timeline by attacking Israel and putting the Bush administration on > the spot, forced to address three warfronts simultaneously. > To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> Your email settings: Individual Email | Traditional <*> To change settings online go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/join (Yahoo! ID required) <*> To change settings via email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
