This doesn't square with invincibility!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6091576.stm

Housing slump batters US economy 
US economic growth slowed to an annual rate of 1.6% in the third 
quarter of 2006, its lowest level for three years. 
Commerce Department figures showed that the slump in the US housing 
market was largely responsible for the loss of economic momentum. 

The data showed a 17.4% annual fall in spending on new housing. 

During the previous three months the economy had grown by 2.6%. Now 
the rate is at its lowest since the first quarter of 2003, when it 
was 1.2%. 

However, some analysts said that consumer spending, buoyed by a fall 
in fuel prices, would provide a boost to the economy with some 
forecasting a growth rate of 3% in October to December 

Voter influences 

The slump in gross domestic product (GDP), well below Wall Street 
expectations, comes as a blow to President George W Bush ahead of the 
US midterm elections next month. 


 Below 2% is certainly a negative surprise and suggests that the 
economy is cooling off faster than anticipated 
Michael Woolfolk, 
Bank of New York 
 

The economy, alongside immigration and the war in Iraq, is expected 
to be a major influence on voters when they go to the polls. 

Analysts said the news meant an interest rate rise from the US 
Federal Reserve was now unlikely to be imminent - with some 
predicting a rate reduction as being more probable. 

The UK-based Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said 
it expected US growth would be revised up slightly but that the 
picture remained "one of a controlled economic slowdown". 

"Weak GDP figures will likely give the markets something to worry 
about, although on the other hand, they will raise expectations that 
the next move in interest rates will be down," said CEBR senior 
economist Jonathan Said. 

In the US, the data also caused a surprise. 

"Below 2% is certainly a negative surprise and suggests that the 
economy is cooling off faster than anticipated," said Bank of New 
York strategist Michael Woolfolk. 

"But it is certainly in line with the Federal Reserve's story that a 
moderation in growth will help core inflation come back down into its 
comfort zone in the mid term." 


Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/1/hi/business/6091576.stm

Published: 2006/10/27 13:47:20 GMT

© BBC MMVI





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