Classic example of the logical fallacy of /post hoc ergo propter hoc/. Correlation is not causality. It is most likely that women who rightly fear they are most at risk are more likely to arm themselves, and that because they are at greater risk, they are more often the victims of crime despite their efforts to defend themselves.
The kind of study that would be needed would be one that examined the results of an at-risk group arming itself on the incidence of assault on them before and after they do so, especially after a well-publicized incident of one of them doing so. Deterrence is about perception. Guns only deter if the perp suspect their intended victims are armed.
-- Jon
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