"How Many Global Deaths from Arms?"

David B. Kopel, Paul Gallant, Joanne D. Eisen

ABSTRACT: Currently, the United Nations is drafting an Arms Trade
Treaty to impose strict controls on firearms and other weapons. In
support of hasty adoption of the Treaty, a UN-related organization
of Treaty supporters have produced a report claiming that armed
violence is responsible for 740,000 deaths annually. This Article
carefully examines the claim. We find that the claim is based on du-
bious assumptions, cherry-picked data, and mathematical legerde-
main which is inexplicably being withheld from the public. The re-
fusal to disclose the mathematical calculations used to create the
740,000 factoid is itself cause for serious suspicion; our own calcula-
tions indicate that the 740,000 figure is far too high.

Further, while the report claims that 60% of homicides are per-
petrated with firearms, our review of the data on which the report
claimed to rely yields a 22% rate. The persons responsible for the
report have refused to release their homicide calculations, or any
other calculations.

This Article also shows how a narrow focus on restricting fire-
arm ownership continues to distract international attention from
life-saving, viable solutions. We propose some practical alternatives
which have already saved lives in war-ravaged areas.

http://www.law.nyu.edu/ecm_dlv1/groups/public/@nyu_law_website__journals__journal_of_law_and_liberty/documents/documents/ecm_pro_068094.pdf


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