What so many seem to be missing is the sleight of hand done by that study.
States with the strictest gun laws tend to have the least amount of guns per
capita (gun ownership prevalence link:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/health/interactives/guns/ownership.html).
It's hardly news that regions with the most guns are more likely to have more
gun homicides and suicides than regions with fewer guns (after allowing for
other factors). The study did not address the affect of firearms on overall
homicide and suicide rates... nice, old parlor trick most are falling for.
This article displays a typical headline reporting the study: "More gun laws =
fewer deaths, 50-state study says"
(http://news.yahoo.com/more-gun-laws-fewer-deaths-134804944.html)
The study attempted no such thing.
________________________________
From: "Olson, Joseph E." <[email protected]>
To: "Firearms Reg, List" <[email protected]>
Cc: post_Heller_list <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, March 8, 2013 12:48 PM
Subject: JAMA, the statistician's Bible.
A Critique of the JAMA “Study”: ...Fleegler classified the 50 states according
to how many gun laws they have. Using an alternative measure, he classified
them according to the effectiveness of their gun laws as rated by the Brady
Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence. He then looked at gun-related fatalities on a
state by state basis, including both homicides and suicides, from 2007 through
2010. The key data are summarized in Table 2, which shows how the 50 states are
ranked and the suicide and homicide statistics that Fleegler used. In making
his findings, Fleegler purports to have controlled for a wide array of other
variables. It will take some time for those with expertise in statistics and
access to Fleegler’s data to determine whether there are technical flaws in his
analysis. But what jumps out at you when you read Fleegler’s article is that
the decrease in fatalities that he documents relates almost exclusively to
suicides. What his
study really shows is that strict gun laws havelittle or no impact on gun
homicide... [The same result Gary Kleck reached 15 years ago.]
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2013/03/new-study-finds-firearms-laws-do-nothing-to-prevent-homicides.php
--
****************************************************************************************************************
Professor Joseph Olson, J.D.(Hon. Duke), LL.M.(Tax. Florida)
o 651-523-2142
Hamline University School of Law (MS-D2037)
f 651-523-2236
St. Paul, MN 55113-1235
c 612-865-7956
[email protected]
http://law.hamline.edu/constitutional_law/joseph_olson.html
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