Don Williams writes:
 
What is striking about the US is the wide variation in
"homicides per Capita" by location.
 
I did an analysis of Maryland's violent crime a few years back and observed that Baltimore City and Prince Georges County had 80% of Maryland's murders and 58% of Maryland's violent crimes  but only 28% of Maryland's population,.  By contrast, Montgomery County, Maryland next to PG County and having nearly the same population to both PG and Baltimore City had 20% of the PG murder rate and 7% of the Baltimore murder rate.
 
Don Williams writes:
 
All of the above suggests that targeted job, education,
and law enforcement assistance to the hot spots could
reduce deaths greatly and that areas with high gun
possession don't necessarily have high or even
moderate homicide rates.
 
At least part of this targeting (the hot spot enforcement part) was tried in Maryland by Lt. Gov. Townsend (her initiative).  It failed because criminals were smart enough to move their criminal activities away from heavy enforcement areas.  Maryland continues with one of the highest crime rates in the country (we are number one in robbery and have been so for the last 7 years).
 
The striking thing in Maryland is how persistent is the criminal behavior in areas.  The PG and Baltimore City crime problems have been elevated compared to Montgomery County for more than 20 years.  All sorts of gun control measures have been enacted and have had no effect that I can see.  In fact, the it is striking that legislators continue with the belief that some general regulation applicable to all of Maryland is the answer, when violence is focused in such a small geographic area. 
 
You can see the full analysis posted at: http://www.mcdl.org/MD_Info/Crime97/index.htm 
The pages will load slowly unless you have a very rapid connection.
 
Phil Lee

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