The following text is an excerpt of the Gartner Group Study that listed 
Check Point as having 52% market share:


Methodology and Assumptions in Check Point Market Share graph:

The figures shown here represent end-user value for VPN solutions sold in 1999

The study included hardware and software based VPN solutions

The study focused on standards-based solutions that had been IPSec 
certified by ICSA in 1999. This was a key criterion since it is through 
interoperability that VPN adoption will be proliferated in the market place.

Router implementations were not included in this study because of the 
difficulties in accurately ascertaining turn-on rate

Firewalls equipped with optional VPN functionality were included because of 
the inherent connection between security and VPNs

Check Point reported end user values of both hardware and software VPN-1 
solutions.

Such that Check Point market share also included:

Nokia sales of the VPN-1 appliance

The data also reflects CY 1999 market for industry-standard ICSA Certified 
IPSec VPNs.

Factors Shaping the Market

The primary factors affecting the VPN market are strong demand, support of 
standards (mainly IPSec), and the separation of enterprise and service 
provider products.   Dataquest research has shown that VPN concepts are 
widely accepted among enterprise customers. This acceptance translates to 
solid demand for VPN products and services and underlies the development of 
the market for both enterprise- and service-provisioning equipment.

Many of the current VPN implementations are enterprise-oriented approaches 
that have been used to build enterprise-managed VPNs. Service providers 
have adapted these implementations to offer public VPN services. A new 
class of product specifically designed for large-scale VPN provisioning by 
service providers is now entering the market.

These products will support IPSec and will most likely dramatically change 
the overall market share picture. Dataquest envisions a scenario where the 
market will split, with one class of solutions serving the enterprise, and 
another class addressing service providers.

This scenario will also create opportunities for partnerships and 
consolidation among market participants.

Market Winners

Because VPN technology includes both a network and a security component, it 
is not surprising that current VPN market leaders are networking and 
firewall companies such as Nortel Networks, Cisco Systems, Lucent 
Technologies, Check Point Software Technologies, and Axent. Many smaller 
vendors are also starting to get into the market. The challenge will be to 
deliver a VPN product that not only runs on all major platforms but that 
also is easy to install, configure, and provision.

The encryption algorithms used in today's VPNs are standard and will not 
likely be a determining factor for users. But integration and 
interoperability with cousin technologies such as switches, firewalls, and 
routers, as well as network monitoring systems, will be key in determining 
which vendors assume a leadership position. Both Check Point and Nortel 
have done an excellent job of partnering with appropriate vendors, and we 
expect them to be market leaders in the long-term VPN market.

Market Challengers

VPNs will dig into the leased line market, but providers that play their 
cards right will offset this by offering managed VPN services. The 
challenge will be provisioning VPNs in a timely manner. Service providers 
typically take six weeks to deploy new service lines, and with a dearth of 
VPN-savvy provisioning engineers, this slow deployment time will not 
improve over the next 12 months.

Market Losers

Providers that offer VPN services before they write their service-level 
description will lose customer credibility in the long run as customer 
expectations for availability and support grow. Vendors that fail to 
partner with appropriate vendors of cousin technologies such as switches, 
routers, and firewalls will not last as technologies merge and businesses 
start expecting one technology component to integrate with another. 
Organizations that purchase a VPN solutin from a provider that does not yet 
have a VPN service-level description are taking an unnecessary risk.


I tend to agee with Marcus that market share is a pointless concept when 
the methodolgy and assumptions clearly point out Gartner Group used numbers 
provided by Check Point..

So therefore combine the above results with the following and it basically 
provides an overall view of the Firewall and IDS landscape:

In the July 17 edition of InternetWeek on page 27, they have a pie chart of 
Intrusion Detection market share.  The article is mostly about Cisco 
becoming a security "giant".  In the article, they talk about Cisco having a
28% share of the IDS market using the old WheelGroup products.  This beats 
out the 27% of ISS.  Unfortunately the pie chart is only available in the 
print version of InternetWeek.

Here was the breakdown:

Cisco:  28%
ISS:  27%
Axent:  19%
Intrusion.com:  10%  (This is the old ODS company, combined with the Kane 
security/MIMEStar software suites)
Network ICE: 4%
Others:  12%

http://www.internetwk.com/infrastructure/infra071700.htm.

At 05:04 PM 9/10/00 -0400, Marcus J. Ranum wrote:

>>According to the Check Point Website they own 52% of the market share.
>
>"Market share" is a pointless concept. I'd hazard a guess there
>are more people out there running Zone Alarm than any other
>firewall - but that's not an apples to apples count, is it?
>
>mjr.
>---
>Marcus J. Ranum     Chief Technology Officer, Network Flight Recorder, Inc.
>Work: http://www.nfr.net
>Play: http://pubweb.nfr.net/~mjr
>
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