Addressing Loet, then Pedro

S: My reply is that the difficulty (?impossibility) of quantitatively estimating the maximum entropy of a natural system does not derive from our inability to foresee its future states, but from an inability to categorize its many present possible states. Consider the human body. How may conformations shall we say that it could assume in the next moment? Of course, if we are attempting this from some narrowly pragmatic project, we could impose, say, three categories of conformations relative to the problem at hand and sample only for these, thus eliminating an unknown number of conformations of no interest. Perhaps I am too 'philosophical, but it seems to me that the 'entropy' concept is no longer of much interest here. 1. I agree that the concept of probabilistic entropy (information) is yet content-free and cannot provide you with the specification of biological categories. It is more like a calculus.

2. The claim that the maximum entropy of natural systems cannot be specified in principle because the number of categories remains unknown for philosophical reasons can easily be read as vitalism.

S: Well, but the problem is even worse for abiotic dissipative structures like tornadoes.

Methodologically, however, the possibility to specify the number of categories and hence the maximum entropy depends on the research question. In population dynamics, for example, this may be more easy than in the case of the human body. Stuart Kauffman once proposed to consider the number of functionally differentiated cell types as a variable across species.

S: Yes. As I said above, if we define the states of interest, and subsume many similar states under some of these, we may be able to contrive a maximum entropy. Thus, for people: standing, sitting, lying down.


Wouldn't the inability to specify the number of categories mean that the system is not properly specified? A human body, for example, is specified only phenotypically? Would one not have to specify the number of categories once one specifies in terms of what one wishes to describe/explain the phenomena? (The human body is then an explandum, but the crucial specification is the one of the explanantes.)

S: Yes. But you see, this loses its philosophical interest in favor of some pragmatic task.


My main argument, however, was that we do not have a parsimonous alternative at the methodological level. In the social sciences, for example, one is able to decompose the static complexity using multi-variate analysis or to a very limited extent to do time-series analysis with two co-variates. When there are three sources of variance, it often becomes too complex for the methodological apparatus (e.g., SPSS). This brought me to entropy statistics long ago. One can extend the dimensionality by writing the number of subscripts. The time dimension can additionally be brought in as another set of subscripts (t, t-1, t+1, etc.). In addition to the Shannon formulas, one can elaborate into Kullback-Leibler, etc.

It is a pity if this would not work also for biological systems.

      S: I suspect that a clever experimental design could handle it.

I sometimes get the impression that with these Piercean notions which you propose as an alternative, vitalism comes back on stage as another (non-mechanistic) explanatory scheme. Perhaps, this would explain the differences of opinion that pop up on this list from time to time. For example, I would consider your systems of interpretance -- yes, I read your book! -- as theoretical, while you may wish to consider them as a (Piercean) methodology.

      S: On this vitalism issue:
(a) my main point on this has been to push the importance of vagueness, which though very difficult to handle technologically, is a rich property of natural things, including 'parole' as opposed to 'langue'. You can see, I think, how this applies above. (b) On vitalism, I have deconstructed this recently for an encyclopedia. I will send you a copy separately. Basically my point is that vitalism was an early glimpse of the problem (for science) of historicity.
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Pedro said:

I keep thinking that the pragmatic way that disciplines interact is important regarding any order/disorder characterization. For instance, let me return to the "water droplet" I mentioned weeks ago.

When the water droplet "decides" on its motion, it may be receiving several strong dynamic influences (from the very local, to the most general: a punctual splash, a wave, winds, a tide, a tsunami...). The case is that the concept of "force" running throughout all scales allows the integration or better the "averaging" of any dynamic influence impinging on the system.

S: I would opt for 'integrate; inasmuch as these forces are found at different scales in different strengths. Thus, I think that the average of 1000 and 0.01 will not contribute to anything.

If the local and general influences cancel among themselves, the droplet will just stay.

S: I think this is not quite just right. The Second Law will invite something to happen to dissipate some of its embodied energies. I think evaporation is the most likely.

A remark to make is that the different categories of forces which are efficiently present will be brought to the analysis by particular disciplines (if some relevant factor or discipline was missing in our analysis, the prediction will fail).

The difference with the human case is interesting. Let us imagine an individual in a big building, staying at the 25 th flour. Some parties are soliciting him/her say for a dinner at the penthouse (50 flour), while other parties are inviting to a concert at the Atrium (ground flour). Will the individual happily rest on the average 25 th flour, motionless like the droplet? Nope. It is an "informational entity", and in order to make sense of his/her moving-reactions to "meaningful" informations received, we need the overall reference of his life cycle (or an abbreviated set of states, preferences, experiences, etc.). Again, in the scientific analysis a plurality of disciplines are called, even for very trivial cases.

Alas, providing the integrative guidelines for the merely mechanical response is pretty well established in our system of knowledge, but a similar construct for informational entities is missing yet. Maybe that quotation from Whitehead I stated days ago deserves more attention ("operations of thought are like cavalry charges...") in order to continue the discussion. Seriously, how science, the sciences, are affected by the limitations of the individual?

S: Completely. Science cannot fathom individual cases. It can only deal with ensembles using various statistical methods.

STAN


Best wishes,


Loet

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