ryanm wrote:
Does anyone have any references to 3rd party Flash 8 player penetration numbers? I have some execs asking me if it's safe to use v8 yet, and they're looking for numbers in the 70%-80% range. Of course they'll doubt numbers from Adobemedia, so 3rd party numbers would be better.

Well, FP8 is safe to use, or else sites wouldn't be using it, but I'd be surprised if it was up above 70% general consumer viewability yet... in the past it has taken about twelve months to hit 80% on the quarterly NPD consumer audits, and FP8 went public in Sept05.

The most recent NPD audit was performed mid-December, and so I'd expect results up on the website pretty soon. I've seen scattered data about significantly higher download requests this version, and we're now tracking successful completed installations (via a server ping at plugin startup), at a rate of 4-5 million a day, but I haven't seen any type of stats published yet, just scattered exec comments in various interviews.

(I wish there was a way to search markup on the web, so we could look for that CLSID/CODEBASE line and build a profile of which sites have already moved up, but I haven't been able to find a way to search WWW markup yet...?)

I know the situation looks real good, even though I'm not quite sure of the details yet myself, if that vague corroboration is of any use when you talk with your own folks there.... ;-)

jd





--
John Dowdell . Adobe Developer Support . San Francisco CA USA
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