Daniel Thompson wrote:
http://www.adobe.com/products/player_census/flashplayer/version_penetration.
html
Will this be updated for Q4 soon? Can I get a ballpark date? I'm trying to
make a plan for migration and would like some Flash Player 9 trending in
there. If there is any other data out there about adoption rate, current
penetration, etc, that would be helpful.
I'm not sure when we should expect the December consumer audit to be
published. Usually it's a 6-8 week turnaround from the consumers to the
audit bureau to Adobe to the website, but the year-end holidays could
play hob with the schedule.
If you're basing any business decision on that mid-September consumer
testing, then, like Greg, I'd recommend Emmy Huang's context on slight
timing differences in that cycle (released June 28 2006; audit
mid-September; about ten weeks' worth of installations):
http://weblogs.macromedia.com/emmy/archives/2006/11/flash_player_st.cfm
I do have some untestable anecdotal information atop the above audits...
completed installations per day (as measured by server pings at a
Player's first startup) have been consistently in the 5-6 million per
day range, except for early December when there was a sharp spike in
boosting us into the 9M/day range (presumably from the casting-couch
scandal in China, search term "zhang yu"). The early moves by MySpace
and other sites to Adobe Flash Player 9 moved the adoption cycle forward
a little bit (MySpace counts 90M members, less than three weeks' worth
of normal Player distribution), but adoption has also generally been
faster as well.
Are you the decisionmaker on this one, or are you having to persuade
others too? If the latter, then are there specific arguments you're
running up against?
tx,
jd
--
John Dowdell . Adobe Developer Support . San Francisco CA USA
Weblog: http://weblogs.macromedia.com/jd
Aggregator: http://weblogs.macromedia.com/mxna
Technotes: http://www.macromedia.com/support/
Spam killed my private email -- public record is best, thanks.
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