Here is my thinking, and having this aired out here has helped some 
on working through this.

1. Adoption of the language is the one thing that I as an investor 
in a technology platform is looking for. High prices seem to work 
against that. read everett rodgers "diffusion of innovation" it 
covers everything for diffusion it is a classic.

2. Stability of the platform. ie memory leaks etc, scalability. lack 
of wierd bugs (ie like the one i post and have not seen any comments 
on). Based on my CF experience, I see that as a realistic possible 
problem area.

3. I think the "commodity nature" of software is moving up the 
application stack. ie, hardware is pretty much a commodity, 
competition is based on price. OS's are heading that way espicially 
with Linux on the scene. Databases are going that way. and it seems 
that the middle layer tools are heading that way, laszlo, 
j2EE, .NET. if you look at the industry the big players are heading 
upstream. they are doing applications. look at the companies that 
microsoft is buying, look at who oracle is buying. Based on this it 
seems that the Laszlo business model makes way more sense. get the 
tools out there, charge for applications built on top of it.

4. what a business wants is solutions to needs. no business user 
comes to us in IT and says, I need you to go buy a new development 
tool. They say I need to add this new feature or offering. I need to 
eliminate costs. etc. So even if I could spend 80k on a software 
package, at the end of the day once it is installed it does not 
solve a single problem for the business.

5. The people that endorse a technology and get it in the door, 
really do tie thier livelihood and future to the results of that 
decision. And it is really disconcering to those people who have put 
the well being of thier family on the line, to see the vendor act in 
flakey ways. raising prices, de-emphasiszing products, having 
massive bugs and memory leaks show up at the last minute, jeopordize 
project failure on really large projects with limited scalability, 
that maybe know but is glossed over because that is the plan for 
later. That makes people edgy. that is probably why you get really 
emotional responses to price change announcements.

I have been pretty well rewarded for using cold fusion in the past. 
it is a great language. but a huge memory leak with handling of COM 
almost cost me dearly a few years back. it completely bucked under 
our real world load. the server crashed every 2 hours and needed to 
be rebooted. Macromedia opened a bug ID for it. it took almost 4 
months to get a fix from them. in the meantime, I tracked down 
cfx_xslt. I contacted the developer, had him make a small mod. and 
it was completely resolved, no memory leak within 2 days from 
contacting him. charge for the product.. no kidding.. $49. I knwo 
someone at macromedia is cringing that he did not find out how deep 
my pockets might have been and charged me 100 times that amount. But 
the point of that story is that the bug almost made the entire 
project a failure, and the best support could do was a fix 4 months 
later. could flex do this to me? maybe. am i taking on some personal 
risk for the sake of this product. 100% yes. 

--Dennis


--- In [email protected], Vinny Timmermans 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I have started many discussions on Flex pricing, and contributed 
heavily to
> each and every other previous Flex pricing post, because I was 
convinced
> that Flex pricing killed my and other Flex lovers' opportunities. 
The reason
> why I did not contribute until so far is simple. I have 
experienced that for
> hot opportunities Macromedia is willing to work out the right deal 
for you
> and your customer. They don't kill your opportunities. This is a 
proven
> fact. So if you think Flex may be the right solution for your 
customer's
> business problem, don't let the pricetag intimidate you. Contact 
Macromedia
> and work it out!
>  
> The real threat, however, comes from a different corner. High 
price tags
> might frighten developers to seriously invest in Flex. Return on 
investment
> may seem far lower than from investing in any other platform. The 
number of
> experienced, professional Flex developers is low at the moment and 
may not
> rise fast enough to realize all Flex opportunities that pop-up in 
the market
> in the coming years. Therefore it is absolutely necessary that 
Macromedia
> will provide a range of other Flex packages soon. From low-cost 
(stripped
> down server-based versions) to no-cost (just mxml compilation 
without
> server-based features; the developer-centered Flash alternative).  
The
> critical success factor in the next period is not the Flex price 
tag, but
> the number of experienced, highly qualified developers out there 
that master
> MXML and AS2 and can rapidly create the killer applications Flex 
can offer.
> Don't make it a second ColdFusion: powerful platform, excellent 
programming
> language, not enough developers.
>  
> Vinny





 
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