David Megginson writes:
> Curtis L. Olson writes:
> 
>  > So did one of the pilots think they saw the runway and let
>  > themselves decend too low and by the time they realized that wasn't
>  > the runway they were too low, too slow, out of whack, maybe a
>  > little ice???
> 
> Not if they had a serviceable DME, unless they completely lost
> situational awareness.

Of course this is all complete speculation, but I hear it is common
practice that one pilot has his eyes inside the cockpit and the other
watches outside.  There is a VOR/DME at the airport, but no ILS.
Since this is a non-precision approach, it's unlikely that you'll pop
out of the clouds directly in line with the runway.  Also (again this
is speculation) this is up on the MN iron range so there are
significant iron ore deposits around.  I have no idea if that could
have factored in, but it can't help if you are trying a last minute DG
adjustment.  So anyway, if the pilot looking out the windows *thought*
he saw the airport, and they headed for it visually...  

No one really knows of course, and other planes flew in the area
before and after the crash, so the conditions weren't unreasonable.
Weather was crappy that day across the whole state, and the ceilings
were close to minumums, but that should have all been within the
capabilities of the aircraft and the pilots.

Did they break out of the clouds and have to dodge a flock of geese?
It's that time of year here where they are heading south.

It's all too wierd.  It seems similar to driving by an automobile
accident and trying to figure out a set of circumstances that would
have led up to the vehicles getting to where they were.

I guess whatever happened, whether it was mechanical, or pilot error,
it happened too late in the approach and too close to the ground for
them to successfully recover.  In that sense, weather couldn't have
been helpful.  It's all very sad.  At the very least you hope that
they are able to figure out what caused the crash so we can prevent
anything like it from happening again.

Curt.
-- 
Curtis Olson   IVLab / HumanFIRST Program       FlightGear Project
Twin Cities    [EMAIL PROTECTED]                  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Minnesota      http://www.menet.umn.edu/~curt   http://www.flightgear.org

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