Leap motion just came out. And Kinect before it. These open up a dimension, but probably not too different than other 3D devices. Let's what happens... On Jul 24, 2013 9:26 PM, "John Pratt" <[email protected]> wrote:
> > If you introduced the Dynabook today, would people use it? That's > now the problem. They would have used it, probably, several years ago, > but now they won't. > > The landscape itself is now reduced to a patch of grass. There is now > a single way to do a certain thing and that thing is fixed. There is one > way > to do everything. So in a way, it isn't just that the technology won't > advance > further, but that the cognitive environment has narrowed to a pinpoint. > > > On Jul 24, 2013, at 4:28 PM, Igor Stasenko wrote: > > > Why so pessimistic? > > Your message reminds me numerous articles from the past, > > that tech hit the wall, and now humanity has to stop and think what to > do next. > > > > The universe is full of yet undiscovered, and who knows how many > days/years > > separates us from another great discovery. Yes it may be not in the > > field related > > to electronics or computing, nor related to the fate of Apple and > > today's flagships of technology. > > Who knows, maybe after a hundred years our descendants will consider > > our today's level of > > technology in computing as something ridiculously slow, ineffective, > > and resource-hungry. > > > > On 25 July 2013 00:18, John Pratt <[email protected]> wrote: > >> > >> In the first place, Steve was very conservative when it came > >> to hardware and advances; relatively few things pushed the edge > >> technologically, in terms of achieving some kind of science future. > >> Three-dimensional displays exist, but no one ever explored that option. > >> > >> From 1999 onwards, the focus of Apple was to produce commerce, > >> not advance the state of products overall. Most everything > >> he did from 1997 to 2011 simply leveraged the work that had been > >> done previously and repackaged it. Bitter failures at NeXT and > >> massive success at Pixar led to the candy coating of Apple products, > >> in which all progress underneath the covers ceased abruptly. > >> > >> But now Apple is unaware of this and they are still riding forward into > >> a wall. They don't know that they are riding into a wall because they > >> are just rehashing and rehashing things written in the 1980's and > 1990's, > >> which weren't, in the first place, as advanced as people envisioned them > >> to be able to be in the 1950's even. > >> > >> Since Microsoft follows Apple in large part and SGI is basically > >> gone, no one leads the world except Apple. So if Apple does not > incorporate > >> a technology, it will never become mainstream. No major competing > operating > >> systems exist anymore and no one is even thinking like that. And since > Google is > >> only splitting itself when it gets into hardware and not staying on > track with web, > >> it cannot really overcome this, either. > >> > >> This is really the end game, for all of technology. > >> If Apple never improves itself in this regard, never thinks at a > fundamental > >> level, if it never examines the faults that Steve borrowed from PARC > without > >> examining the conceptual underpinnings, Apple will just decline, as is > >> the case right now. > >> > >> Everything that was aspired in the 1990's is now a narrowly-defined > reality: > >> video exists in all formats and is available in any way possible. > Audio and > >> music are consumable in all ways. All information is basically > transmittable > >> as quickly as one really wants it given technology. Speed the > computers up by > >> 10x and it won't make much difference anymore. > >> > >> Stock analysts and news journalists can't see that the underpinnings of > >> technology have now hit a wall. Go ahead and make a watch or whatever. > >> Real observers know that technology is over; it is just in its last > throes. > >> > >> Once you define a tablet in the form of an iPad, no one can do anything > else. > >> Now that a mobile phone is synonymous with a touch pad, no one can think > >> of anything else. Mankind has boxed itself in and it is all over. > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> _______________________________________________ > >> fonc mailing list > >> [email protected] > >> http://vpri.org/mailman/listinfo/fonc > > > > > > > > -- > > Best regards, > > Igor Stasenko. > > _______________________________________________ > > fonc mailing list > > [email protected] > > http://vpri.org/mailman/listinfo/fonc > > _______________________________________________ > fonc mailing list > [email protected] > http://vpri.org/mailman/listinfo/fonc >
_______________________________________________ fonc mailing list [email protected] http://vpri.org/mailman/listinfo/fonc
