CAMP DAVID II:  WORLD'S MOST EXPENSIVE KABUKI SHOW
By
Eric S. Margolis  23 July 2000


WASHINGTON - Last week's supposed cliffhanger negotiations at Camp David 
between Israel and the Palestinians remind this old, cynical Mideast hand 
of Japan's highly stylized kabuki drama. Lots of yelling, arm-waving and 
theatrics, but a predictable outcome. Only the cost of Camp David II 
remains unknown. American taxpayers should pray Clinton's last show flops. 

The two main issues confronting Israel and Palestine - to use
the name of the new state that will inevitably come into being - are 
Jerusalem and Arab refugees.  Neither is likely to be resolved at Camp 
David II. At best, these two extraordinarily difficult issues will be 
finessed, deferred, or paper-over with sham compromises.

Israel vows it will never give back the Old City of Jerusalem, which it 
conquered in the 1967 Arab-Israeli War.  Palestinians,  the 1.2 
billion-strong Muslim world, the Vatican, Europe, and the UN insist the Old 
City return to Muslim-Christian rule as capital of Palestine.  Pope John 
Paul II reiterated this point over the weekend, calling for the 
internationalization of the holy city.

Israel  refuses any right of return to Palestinian refugees  expelled from 
their homes in 1948 and 1967, though it welcomed one million Russians and 
still keeps its doors open for new immigrants. The original Palestinian 
refugees and their descendants now total  nearly 4 million. Israel says it 
will never force 140,000 Jewish settlers on the West Bank, Gaza, and Golan 
to leave.

End of story?  Not necessarily. The president of the United States has the 
power to break this impasse. In 1956, Israel, in collusion  with France and 
Britain,  invaded Egypt and seized Sinai. When Israel refused to withdraw 
at war's end, President Dwight Eisenhower and Secretary of State John 
Foster Dulles ordered Israel to vacate Sinai or face cut-off of all US aid 
and an end to the tax-deductible status of contributions to Israel.  Israel 
vacated Sinai.

What the Palestinians and Jews needs right now is a strong, courageous 
American president who will force Israel into the necessary concession it 
cannot now make:  granting some form of tangible and/or shared sovereignty 
over the Old City to Palestinian Muslims and Christians.

Without a fair deal over Jerusalem, and at least some Palestinian refugees 
returned to Israel, there will be no permanent Mideast peace. Israel's 
embattled PM Ehud Barak may want to do just this, but his coalition is near 
collapse. Israel's powerful right, backed by hard-line Zionists in the US 
and Britain, refuses to concede an inch and is busy undermining  Barak with 
hysterical and preposterous claims that Israel's very existence is in 
peril.

He who pays the piper should call the tune. Israel has received  $100 
billion in aid from the US since 1948.  Every year, US taxpayers give 
Israel $5 billion in open and hidden aid. Egypt is paid $2 billion annually 
not to confront Israel.  Half of all US foreign aid goes to Israel and 
Egypt.  Israel's military is dependant on US equipment and technology. Only 
the oft-used US veto prevents Israel from facing UN sanctions over its 
refusal to withdraw form the West Bank and the Old City.

Now should be the time for Washington to press Israel to accept a deal that 
would be good for Jews, Arabs and US Mideast interests. Instead, what we 
have is a flabby Bill Clinton who is thinking more about November 
elections, Democratic campaign financing, and his next career move to 
Hollywood than America's strategic position.

There will be no real pressure on Israel to compromise. Every senior 
position in the State Department and National Security Council responsible 
for Mideast policy has been filled with strong American supporters of 
Israel who are virtually part of Israel's political establishment.

The three senior American diplomats at Camp David II have all been involved 
with the US Israel lobby; two were Israeli residents.
It's as if the entire US delegation at American-brokered talks on northern 
Ireland were militant Catholic-Americans and IRA backers.  The powerful 
Israel lobby has warned Congress, `no pressure on Israel.' Politicians 
recall that President George Bush's  attempts to press Israel into halting 
settlements brought charges of `anti-semitism' that  contributed to his 
failure to get re-elected and to Clinton's upset victory.

The only `pressure' the US will exert is offering Israel more money. Camp 
David I has cost US taxpayers $160 billion  - the price of nine complete 
aircraft carrier battle groups.  The recent, never fully implemented Wye 
River agreements engineered by Clinton  cost taxpayers nearly $2 billion.

Israel is reportedly asking Washington for US $15-27 billion to relocate 
military facilities from the occupied territories, and another $30-40 
billion to make its armed forces as technologically advanced as those of 
the US, including full integration into US space and intelligence systems. 
 Plus another $2 billion more for missile defense on top of $1.5 billion 
already received from the US.

The US and Europe provide Palestine's entire $360 million annual budget. 
Yasser Arafat now seeks $40 billion compensation - not from Israel, but the 
US!-  for the nearly 4 million Palestinian refugees and their confiscated 
property. Even if allocated, much of this money would likely end up in the 
pockets of PLO bigwigs, not the refugees.

In short, American taxpayers are being asked to again massively bribe their 
squabbling clients into pretending to cooperate.  Camp David II could end 
up costing $100 billion - just for openers.   Those crafty Mideasterners 
certainly know how to shake down Uncle Sam in an election year.


Copyright   eric s. margolis   2000

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War at the Top of the World - The struggle for Afghanistan, Kashmir and 
Tibet - by Eric Margolis is available at major book outlets and online in 
both the US and Canada - recently reviewed in The Economist as "His account 
of recent warfare in Asia's highest mountains is both gripping and 
instructive."





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