The declines of the equities markets could contain the current market
sentiment of the currency market pushing the USD higher across the
broad and the news of buying a higher stake percentage of citigroup
could not make a serious change today but the doubts about the impact
of the banking nationalizations movement in US to stimulate the wanted
demand to restabilize the economy could contain the current market
sentiment today. The pessimism controlled the markets giving a feeling
to the investors that the turning back point may not be close and it
can be farer than what was expected.
The gold is still holding its gains above 970$ and the US treasuries
were underpinned by Dow loses which gained momentum after breaking
7550 and closing under it last week. These bearish signs reinforced
the way down.

In this same time, the single currency is still suffering from the
banking and financial loses on the credit crisis impact on the
European eastern economies and from another side the single currency
interest rate outlook differential versus the greenback is still
putting weights on it as we wait another .5% ECB cut next month and
the interest rate in US has become nearly 0% and there are no further
rooms for monetary easing  aggressively in US to put weight on the
greenback.

We wait today for the release of IFO germane business climate index
and it is expected to be 83.2 in Feb from 83 in Jan and from US, we
seriously wait for the release of US Feb consumer confidence and it is
expected to be 36 and Ben Bernanke's statement about the economy and
the fed's next policies in the face of the persisting recession and
deflation forces in US. The recent minutes of the Fed's last meeting
release last week have shown the markets that the turning back points
can be farer than what the fed was expecting.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: [email protected]
http://www.fx-recommends.com

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