Asteroid may hit Mars in next month 
By ALICIA CHANG, AP Science Writer 19 minutes ago 

LOS ANGELES - Mars could be in for an asteroid hit. 

A newly discovered hunk of space rock has a 1 in 75 chance of slamming into the 
Red Planet on Jan. 30, scientists said Thursday.

"These odds are extremely unusual. We frequently work with really long odds 
when we track ... threatening asteroids," said Steve Chesley, an astronomer 
with the Near Earth Object Program at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

The asteroid, known as 2007 WD5, was discovered in late November and is similar 
in size to an object that hit remote central Siberia in 1908, unleashing energy 
equivalent to a 15-megaton nuclear bomb and wiping out 60 million trees.

Scientists tracking the asteroid, currently halfway between Earth and Mars, 
initially put the odds of impact at 1 in 350 but increased the chances this 
week. Scientists expect the odds to diminish again early next month after 
getting new observations of the asteroid's orbit, Chesley said.

"We know that it's going to fly by Mars and most likely going to miss, but 
there's a possibility of an impact," he said.

If the asteroid does smash into Mars, it will probably hit near the equator 
close to where the rover Opportunity has been exploring the Martian plains 
since 2004. The robot is not in danger because it lies outside the impact zone. 
Speeding at 8 miles a second, a collision would carve a hole the size of the 
famed Meteor Crater in Arizona.

In 1994, fragments of the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 smacked into Jupiter, creating 
a series of overlapping fireballs in space. Astronomers have yet to witness an 
asteroid impact with another planet.

"Unlike an Earth impact, we're not afraid, but we're excited," Chesley said.

___

On the Net:

Near Earth Object Program: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov

(This version CORRECTS SUBS penultimate graph to correct that fragments of 
comet smacked into Jupiter in 1994 sted 2004.)


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