Milos Rancic wrote: > I've got the first report. There are no information that something > happened to any Wikimedian. > > Take a look at [1]. I don't expect bigger scale problems in Iran, but > not just because of that analysis. Except theocratic structures, > preset situation in Iran reminds me a lot to the situation in Serbia > during late period of Milosevic. State structures without connection > to reality have to reform themselves or they'll be replaced. > Fortunately, [ordinary] Iranians don't want war because still fresh > memories to war between Iraq and Iran. The situation was similar in > 2000 in Serbia. > > [1] - > http://www.ted.com/talks/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future.html > Nuclear weaponry in Iran may a concern to powerful western countries, but I don't see it as being a major factor in the country's internal politics. While there may very well have been widespread fraud, that alone wouldn't be enough to explain away a 29 percentage point spread. A strong line of national security scare-mongering is always good source of votes in the less educated parts of a country. We hear a lot about what is happening in Tehran, but very little about the rest of the country.
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