KICKING THE DOG
By James Dale Davidson 

It is interesting to contemplate how far U.S. foreign policy has evolved in 
the few years since President Clinton appeared to engage in parodies of the 
movie Wag the Dog. In the Clinton era, gestures of force abroad seemed to be 
geared more to news management than event management. In fact, I did an 
informal study that showed an extraordinary correlation between the 
employment of force abroad and various red-letter days in Clinton's numerous 
legal embarrassments. The more embarrassing the situation Clinton faced, the 
more likely he was to unleash an attack. 

Military action, epitomized by Clinton's semi-comic cruise missile 
bombardment of the Sudanese aspirin factory, seemed designed more to distract 
U.S. public attention from Clinton's various legal scuffles than to achieve a 
coherent policy objective. Bush seems to have a different approach. Instead 
of "wagging the dog", he is "kicking the dog".

Let me explain. "Kicking the dog" also has a cinematic origin. It refers to a 
practice, immortalized in a Monty Python movie, of communicating unhappiness 
by punishing a weaker party rather than one who might be more objectively at 
fault. In the movie in question, members of an English household gather for 
meals and other family occasions only to find the matron of the family, an 
old dowager, loudly passing gas. As it is socially impossible to upbraid her, 
they respond in another way. Each time she passes gas, other family members 
kick the dog. 

Bear this analogy in mind when you are trying to sort out the pending war to 
oust Saddam Hussein. Saddam is the dog. While Saddam is surely guilty of 
innumerable crimes, which make it desirable that he be removed as Iraqi head 
of state, there is scant evidence of Iraq backing terrorism. Part of the 
reason that Bush's many bellicose statements about ousting Saddam have not 
gained wider acceptance is the fact that it is impossible for him to 
articulate the actual good that his war would achieve if successful. 
Therefore, the real logic of Bush's belligerence against Saddam has been 
little understood. Bush may be attacking Iraq, but the real target is Saudi 
Arabia. 

Think about it: Saddam may have welcomed an al Qaeda operative or two in 
Baghdad. But the main reservoir of fanaticism that gave rise to and sustains 
al Qaeda is Saudi Arabia. The chief patron of the al Qaeda terrorist network 
is Osama bin Laden, a wealthy Saudi fanatic. The great preponderance of 
suicide bombers (15 of 19) who attacked the United States on Sept. 11 were 
Saudi nationals. And the major financial support for the terrorist networks, 
in addition to the millions lavished on terrorism by bin Laden himself, comes 
from six other wealthy Saudis. 

If stopping terrorism were your objective, and you really meant it, as Bush 
seems to do, it might be important to cut off the supply of weapons of mass 
destruction accumulating in unstable hands in Iraq. But it could be equally 
important to turn off the incubator that is breeding more terrorists, as well 
as to cut off the flow of funds that sustains terrorist enterprises. This is 
where Bush is way ahead of his critics. 

When you start thinking in those terms, your attention automatically 
gravitates south of the Iraqi border to Saudi Arabia, which is the main 
incubator of terrorists. It is the vast Saudi oil wealth, concentrated in the 
hands of often-pious devotees of the intolerant Wahhabi sect of Sunni 
Muslims, which repeatedly leaks into the hands of terrorists, many of whom 
are themselves Saudis. And it is not to be forgotten that official Saudi 
support for fundamentalist schools in Pakistan and elsewhere in the Muslim 
world has done much to stoke the fires of religious fanaticism.

Indeed, as The Wall Street Journal reported, the Saudis have financed efforts 
to spread radical Islam through prison ministries in the United States. (See: 
"Captive Audience: How a Chaplain Spread Extremism to an Inmate Flock"; 
"Radical New York Imam Chose Clerics for State Prisons"; "Praise for 9/11 
'Martyrs' Saudi Arabia's Helping Hand" by Paul M. Barrett, Feb. 5, 2003.) The 
story details how the Saudi government financially backed efforts led by 
Warith Umar, formerly known as Wallace 10X, formerly known as Wallace Gene 
Marks, to turn imprisoned black Americans into Islamic terrorists. 

The major factor that contributes to the cauldron of steaming lunacy in which 
characters like Osama bin Laden bubble to the surface is the almost uniformly 
backward nature of Arab society. Throughout the Middle East, most Arab 
cultures are essentially medieval in their orientation. Indeed, in many 
cases, they are more backward than they were in medieval times, when Arab 
scientists were at the forefront of developments in astronomy, mathematics, 
chemistry and technology.

At that time, Arab thinkers like Ibn Khaldun (1332-1406) were centuries ahead 
of their counterparts in the West. Indeed, many modern scholars consider al 
Mugaddimah, Khaldun's prologue to history, to be a more sophisticated and 
modern treatment of the issues raised in Niccolo Machiavelli's The Prince, 
written a century later. Unlike Machiavelli, or almost any other thinker in 
early modern Christendom, Khaldun based his analysis of power politics on 
cultural, sociological, economic and psychological factors, and not just the 
moral character of the ruler.

I don't know whether Bush has read Ibn Khaldun. I rather doubt it. He may 
have read Machiavelli. As for Saddam, he certainly acts as though he were a 
student of Machiavelli. Be that as it may, it appears to me that Bush is 
basing his campaign against terrorism, not just on the effort to turf out one 
corrupt prince, Saddam Hussein. Rather, Bush appears to be seeking to 
undermine the whole cultural, sociological, economic and psychological 
foundation of terrorism. 

Ironically, while Saddam postures, lies and maneuvers with the alacrity of 
Machiavelli's Prince, Bush seems intent upon striking at the deeper roots of 
terrorism, as Ibn Khaldun would have advised.

Regards,

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