Your thought that better modeling to see whether proposed solutions would have the intended effect makes a lot of sense in a world with such complicated feedbacks that that frequently is not the case. My concern is that modeling still represents incremental improvement in a design built on faulty assumptions.
I'm talking about how one models the autonomy of autonomous systems, the natural function of growth in growth systems, the physical organization of emergent structures and their fundamental differences from the rules for them we devise. Natural systems do demonstrably accomplish the purposes you define as our goal in steering the global system, but they don't use our method, and I think a good thing would be to learn theirs. Phil Henshaw ¸¸¸¸.·´ ¯ `·.¸¸¸¸ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 680 Ft. Washington Ave NY NY 10040 tel: 212-795-4844 e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] explorations: www.synapse9.com > -----Original Message----- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Belinda Wong-Swanson > Sent: Friday, January 19, 2007 11:31 AM > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The Origin of Wealth and The God Delusion > > > Hi Justin, > > Thank you for your thoughtful comments. I am based in Santa > Fe, along with many of the original Friamers. > > I was watching CSPAN several nights ago where a panel of > Middle Eastern experts and economists went before US > politiicians to try to convince them that a larget part of > the US$1B should be spent on economic solutions rather than > military solutions in Iraq - young people with nothing to do, > no jobs and no future, are going to make trouble everywhere, > not just Iraq. One of the politician asked, given that > economic solution is the right approach, how would one ensure > that the money goes to the right place for the right purpose, > in the hands of the right groups, ensuring fairness, and > success. - It probably never occur to politicians that, > analyzing the problem through simulations for a few months > with a fraction of the costs, could provide more insight on > the proper strategy than through trial and error over several > years with many lives lost. ........ ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
