Robert Holmes wrote:
> So what are the specific questions that a big epidemiological
> simulation can answer? It can't be anything too predictive ("ohmigod,
> New York has just fallen to small pox. Which city is next?") because
> that depends (I'd guess) on something that is unsimulatable ("errr....
> dunno. Kinda depends which flight the guy with small pox got onto").
In addition to regional parameters like average social network size and
frequency of interactions by individuals to connected social networks,
there are a finite number of flights to get on to, with known flight
volumes, and they could all be considered in order to create maps of
risk depending on different starting locations given empirical info on
transmission conditions..
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