>>These guys are so down on scenario planning, they might enjoy
http://www.gbn.com, or Peter Schwartz's "The Art of the Long View" from
1991. Regardless of what you think of the technique, the notion that it is
only used in current military and security circles is not supportable.<<
Carl,
Not sure I understand your comment. I do know that Peter and
others at GBN have long been advising, consulting and referred to by
groups within various branches of military and intelligence planning.
Peter was even the early author (when at SRI) of a screenplay that became
the basis for the feature film "War Games". The limitations of
individual people, mind-sets, intentions, and vested-interests, among
numerous other factors, tend to affect the outcomes of Scenario Planning
or any other complex decision-making process, as is evident in the article
I forwarded.
Richard
------------------------------------------------
Richard Lowenberg
P.O.Box 8001, Santa Fe, NM 87504
505-989-9110, 505-603-5200 cell
[EMAIL PROTECTED] www.radlab.com
New Mexico Broadband Initiative
www.1st-mile.com/newmexico
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