Sorry if it wasn't evident, but that last comment of mine was intended
to point to a very high power complex systems application for resolving
resource conflicts.   Sorry if it shows my exasperation, but you guys
are so quick on the dismissal button it kills me!
 
What you can tell if you notice diminishing returns in a resource is
that continuing to increase investment in it will a) accelerate it's
decline, and b) cause multiplying complications, i.e. the strategy will
backfire in a complex system way that gets rapidly worse over time.  
 
What you can tell if you notice diminishing returns in ALL your
resources at once (what we're now seeing) is  not just that you're
approaching several individual resource limits, which would each be made
far worse by trying to overcome them with added effort.   It's then also
direct evidence of whole system terminal limits with a high probability
of whole system disordering rapidly approaching (like the transition to
turbulence), if not responded to by reducing the resource development
pressures.   Why?   Well, it's because there's a difference between
information overload (which just gets dumped) and footprint overload
(which just causes conflict).
 
If the issues around this get all tangled up, untangling is so much
better than discarding...  When in doubt, cut tangled stuff up in little
pieces and build your own untangled stuff from the shreds...  ;-)
 
 

Phil Henshaw                       ¸¸¸¸.·´ ¯ `·.¸¸¸¸
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
680 Ft. Washington Ave 
NY NY 10040                       
tel: 212-795-4844                 
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]          
explorations: www.synapse9.com <http://www.synapse9.com/>     
-- "it's not finding what people say interesting, but finding what's
interesting in what they say" --

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, February 27, 2008 1:12 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] water



I would be very interested to have comments on how complexity theory can
be applied to our growing and critical global water resources problems
and conflicts.  Paul




  _____  

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