“I think we will outlive every other species on the planet, even if we have
to escape it, leaving a burnt-out cinder behind. “

 

The meek shall inherit the Earth. The strong will leave.

 

“But what I want to know is why in all of our awesomeness, we don't spend a
little of it in introspection.”

 

Well, I never did like the word “we”. Sounds like “Anthem”. You seem
introspective. Therefore, the collective whole is more introspective. You’ve
done your part. Teach your kids.

 

“you think we are on the verge of self-extinction”

 

There’s never been a more conning successful argument than “pay me now and I
will deliver later”. Sort of blood for promises! The end is near! Repent for
your sins today. Send your checks to… When the theists do this for rewards
in the afterlife, they use guilt. When the statists do this for rewards in
the future, they use force. We have a constitution that protects us from the
former but not the latter. Both are religions. It’s just that the latter
doesn’t call it a religion so it doesn’t fall under First Amendment. When
the Rapture doesn’t happen on the foretold day, excuses are made and the
event is pushed a little bit more into the future but still looming on the
horizon mind you. When the Annual Global Warming Convention is snowed out in
the biggest cold spell in decades, excuses are made. Neither side will admit
the possibility of being wrong. You can’t prove there is not a Hell in the
afterlife just as you can’t prove there is not a Hell in the future. We
cannot go there now so it cannot be negated. Pascal’s Wager is then invoked
along with a false dilemma. The most emotional dramatic speakers win the
argument.

 

 “I'm an anarchist.”

 

That always seems to have a bad connotation doesn’t it? Anarchy means
against “archies”, like monarchies, oligarchies, plutocracies, etc. I don’t
think it means zero government. It just means minimal government. Supposedly
all governments have the same common abstract goal: “to minimize conflict”,
which usually results in one entity using force against another. So the
government has to use force to intervene, which causes conflict, but just
less than no government. So the questions become, “what is the minimum” and
“who started the fight?” If you do something that I don’t like, are you
allowed to or not? We have Freedom of Speech, but not Freedom of Volume at
any place and time. I think the government doesn’t care who started it so
long as someone does start it and the government can use that as an excuse
to get involved and grow. Sounds like a conflict of interest. What can the
government do today to cause the people to hate each other? I know from
watching the last few decades of American politics that the two parties in
the government seem to be far more united than their voters. We are divided
and so we are conquered.

 

To paraphrase the Obama slogan, "we are the ones we've been whining about".

 

That’s funny. I have a feeling that the Obama administration is going to
look just like the Bush administration but with the tables turned. It’s
hilarious. Dems complained about Bush, Reps said, “you need to support our
president!”, and Dems said “he’s not our president!” Now Reps are
complaining about Obama, and the Dems are saying, “just give him a chance
and have hope”, and Reps are saying, “he doesn’t represent me!” Dems accused
Bush about the Patriot Act as an invasion of privacy. Now Napolitano
releases some paper about suspicious groups that are “on the watch list” and
the Reps accuse the same. The final score: PEOPLE 0, GOVERNMENT 2.

 

I’m very positive about the future because the private sector seems to
invent and adapt to new technologies far faster than the government slugs
can react. Look at PGP, blogs, cell phone cameras and recorders, and instant
cross references. Politicians are still dumbfounded when some YouTube shows
them saying two contradictory statements with the same conviction and
sincerity to two different voting groups both made in different cities but
both in the same week. They’re still fighting the previous war. They also
hate it when people pull up recordings of their past (when they were hoping
it would be forgotten) and send it out virally.

 

Politics. You just gotta love it.

 

“I hope his [Obama’s] detractors are as wrong as their arrogant
self-rightous blustering implies.”

 

Whatever laws your political party passes that benefits you at the expense
of the other party becomes precedent for revenge when the tables turn. And
those laws linger for a long time.

The best way to make “society” better is to make “yourself” better. Do your
part. Set an example.

 

Rob

  _____  

From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf
Of Steve Smith
Sent: Sunday, April 19, 2009 10:09 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] How many years left

 





I wonder how much more “efficient” cars have gotten. They have certainly
gotten lighter over the years. But are they really getting that much more
energy from gasoline?

My contemporary cars get about twice the fuel mileage that my earlier
vehicles did.  This is a combination of being lighter, more aerodynamic,
having better drive-train efficiencies, improved combustion due to
combustion chamber design, fuel management, and spark management.   Vehicles
with similar weight but (in my case) with 4x4 or AWD get about 50% better
gas mileage than their 2WD counterparts from 30-40 years ago.   My "economy
cars" from the 70's/80's rival even the hybrids.  I have to coast a lot,
manage my speed carefully, avoid sitting at idle, but yes, they clock in
about the same as a Prius or even an Insight, but it takes a lot of care.



“I wonder why we, the apologists and denialists for anthropogenic crises are
so quick to take credit for man's great abilities to fill every corner of
the world, to dominate every climate, every landscape, yet insist that we
could *never* be the cause of major systems imbalances in the world”
 

I suppose the same is true in reverse. There are those that apologize for
our greatness and deny that we’ve done wonders yet insist that we could
never be the cause of our own destiny. It’s all a matter of perspective.

I'm usually on your side of the arguement.   I'm a human-chauvanist (thanks
to Robert Heinlein) and I think we will outlive every other species on the
planet, even if we have to escape it, leaving a burnt-out cinder behind.
We are wicked-clever, and we *will* find a way. 

But what I want to know is why in all of our awesomeness, we don't spend a
little of it in introspection.   Why don't we look at what we are doing and
ask whether we really want to be so exploitative?   To hear one side of the
debate you think we are on the verge of self-extinction through abuse of the
planet, but to listen to the other, you would think we are also on the edge
of extinction if we don't exploit every resource to the greatest of our
ability.   

For the nuclear-buffs, "what if fission was out of our reach?".  What if
nuclear power simply were not an option?  Would we *really* be on the verge
of disaster?  Sure, it is convenient, but that isn't the same as saying it
is necessary. 



Sometimes I wonder, if a conservative is someone that resists change, then
are those that “save the whales” and fret about “global warming” or “global
cooling” also conservative? Did those mammoths died because they didn’t
change; that they were too “conservative” of a species and didn’t adapt and
evolve? Did they really die or did their genes live on in other species? If
we hunted them to death and that’s bad, is it also bad that they supplanted
other species during their rise and caused them to go extinct?

The rhetoric of conservative/liberal is mostly duplicitous and argumentative
to me.  I'm an anarchist.  We have some choices that other species do not
have, that our ancestors did not have for the most part.   We are the
smart-ass Hippies who knew it all, who became Yuppies who knew it all, who
are now blaming "them" for FFing everything up.  To paraphrase the Obama
slogan, "we are the ones we've been whining about".

Right now is a *really good time* to take serious stock of our (collective)
situation and put down our "childish things" (another Obamaism?) and ask
ourselves what is really happening in this world and whether we want to do
something different (if we even can).   This is environmental, sociological,
economic, political.  I hope Obama and his inner circle are as smart and
aware as they (sometimes) appear to be.  I hope his detractors are as wrong
as their arrogant self-rightous blustering implies.   I hope the rest of us
at least take our role in this seriously, err on the thoughtful side, take a
chance by asking some of the harder questions (pro and con) and considering
what we can and might do about the answers.

Our parents spent their lives trying to avoid/repair the mistakes their
parents made (depression, world wars, etc.) and we are doing the same I
fear.  I hope not to condemn my own children to fighting/repairing from my
mistakes while ignoring their own real plight and opportunities.



 “I think I'll choose to live in a region of the multiverse where humans
*do* recognize their self-destructive habits”

 I don’t think you have a choice. If in this universe we destroy ourselves,
our conscious continuity will only live on in those other universe where we
don’t destroy ourselves.

I think you are right. I was merely being rhetorical.   I think multiverse
theories are generally moot, no matter how interesting.   I have a thin
belief (whatever that means) that to be conscious is to be able to span and
navigate these possibilities...   but I'm not sure I know what that really
means.



Imagine all those other universes where a killer asteroid hit the Earth, or
nuclear war, or plague killed everyone. We’ll, here we are and there we’re
not!

But I'm sure my ur-selves in their uber-competence would have found a clever
way to escape the worst of it, to live on and speculate and cogitate and
pontificate endlessly.

I think I need to go back to inspecting the lint trapped in my navel now,
maybe I can felt it up into a fresh cover for my yurt... the 20-year
warranteed plasticized canvas is starting to age.

 - Steve

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