I just ran across
this<http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/mathematics-explanation/>.
(Call it the "horizontal force.")

There appear to be physical explanations that are non-causal. Suppose that a
bunch of sticks are thrown into the air with a lot of spin so that they
twirl and tumble as they fall. We freeze the scene as the sticks are in free
fall and find that appreciably more of them are near the horizontal than
near the vertical orientation. Why is this? The reason is that there are
more ways for a stick to be the horizontal than near the vertical. To see
this, consider a single stick with a fixed midpoint position. There are many
ways this stick could be horizontal (spin it around in the horizontal
plane), but only two ways it could be vertical (up or down). This asymmetry
remains for positions near horizontal and vertical, as you can see if you
think about the full shell traced out by the stick as it takes all possible
orientations. This is a beautiful explanation for the physical distribution
of the sticks, but what is doing the explaining are broadly geometrical
facts that cannot be causes.


-- Russ Abbott
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  California State University, Los Angeles

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