On Thu, 14 Oct 2010 13:44 -0400, "Ted Carmichael"
<[email protected]> wrote:



BTW - I wouldn't say the expert cannot explain why he has reached
a certain conclusion.  Largely speaking, she can.  A blind person
can tell you exactly what all the little raised dots and patterns
mean.  I just mean that, as expertise is built up, this process
of articulation becomes unnecessary.  And probably, in more
complex domains, some subtle patterns are probably integrated
into the architecture without awareness of them.  In these cases,
it would be more difficult and more complex to articulate what
has led to the conclusion.  However, the broad strokes of
analysis are almost certainly readily available





Empirical observation of experts trying to articulate their
expertise is interesting - ala protocol analysis done of
diagnosticians when trying to build an expert system.


The physician reports: "I enter the patient's room, consult the
chart and notice a high fever.  I examine the patient and observe
red spots.  A culture test reveals x-bacteria, so I conclude the
patient has measles."

The camera observes: the physician enters the room, walks to the
bed, says hello to the patient, picks up the chart and records
the diagnosis of measles.

what happened?  the physician had read a news article about a
measles epidemic on the subway to work, smelled the distinctive
odor of chicken soup upon entering the room, made the mental link
and came to the appropriate conclusion.

Confronted with the record, the physician relates, "that was the
way I was taught in medical school, so it is the correct
protocol."  It took a lot of thought before the physician was
able to articulate what she really did when making the
diagnosis.  It revealed two distinct mental models of "diagnostic
expertise" one based totally on experience and the other on "book
learning."  Correlation between the two was nominal.

davew
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