There are a couple of problems with a 3rd party -- besides possibly
splitting the vote of your preferred party.  One is that even if a 3rd party
elects a president, it is unlikely that a 3rd party president will get
anything done without the support of Congress, which will consist of people
in the other two parties.  Considering how difficult it has been for Obama
to get anything through Congress -- even though the Democrats controlled
both houses before the 2010 elections and one house after -- why should we
think that a President with no control over either house will be any more
successful.

A second problem is that if one is hoping for a President who is in some
sense a centrist compromise between the two parties, we already have that.
Obama is essentially an Eisenhower Republican.  He is already a centrist
compromise between the right wing Republicans and the more left-leaning
Democrats.  Look, for example, at how Krugman puts
it<http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/26/hidden-in-the-middle/>.
Obama has done pretty much everything possible to reach an accommodation
with the Republicans. The problem is not that he is too far to the left. The
problem is that the current Republican party has as its goal to prevent
Obama from accomplishing anything. That way they can campaign against him as
someone who can't govern. And perhaps they are right on that point. But it's
not a matter of being centrist or not. It's a matter of facing a Republican
party that values regaining power more than the well-being of the
country.  Matthew
Yglesias has a nice
post<http://thinkprogress.org/yglesias/2011/09/26/328775/barack-obama-does-the-impossible/>on
this also.


*-- Russ Abbott*
*_____________________________________________*
***  Professor, Computer Science*
*  California State University, Los Angeles*

*  Google voice: 747-*999-5105
*  blog: *http://russabbott.blogspot.com/
  vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
*_____________________________________________*



On Tue, Sep 27, 2011 at 9:35 AM, Owen Densmore <[email protected]> wrote:

> I'm not at all sure this outfit is going to help:
> http://www.americanselect.org/
> ..and I do understand that third parties tend to split the other two
> parties, Ross Perot got 19% of the vote!
>
> But I'm starting to think AE is for real, even tho a bit spooky .. they're
> rather secretive.  I've registered and answered some of the initial
> interview questions.  And I do indeed remember just how powerful the net was
> for Obama and how much it may continue to be a big player in politics.
>
> The main issue for me is that they appear to be primarily Democrat rather
> than Republican .. or maybe Liberal vs Conservative (you get to see how
> others answer the questions) so that it will likely hurt Obama.  If AE is
> NOT for real, it could be a plot to split the Liberal vote!
>
> So if AE is for real .. not a scam, and if they have at least as much
> impact as Perot (19%), and if they keep on existing as an alternative, the
> main question is: am I willing to hurt Obama's re-election chances?
>
> I think the answer is "yes" not because I dislike Obama, but because of the
> complete insanity of american politics today and how little chance he has
> for success.
>
> What do you think?  How many of the rest of us has looked at AE?  Have
> registered and taken part?
>
>         -- Owen
>
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