Whoa! Great catch. His text book was the first in depth that I found back in the day, 1997
http://www.amazon.com/Dynamics-Complex-Systems-Studies-Nonlinearity/dp/0201557487/ Amazing that he could find the needle in the statistical hay stack. -- Owen On Fri, Feb 21, 2014 at 2:06 PM, glen e. p. ropella <[email protected]>wrote: > A Mathematical Formula Predicted Today's Worldwide Protests Over a Year Ago > http://www.policymic.com/articles/82855/a-mathematical- > formula-predicted-today-s-worldwide-protests-over-a-year-ago > > "From Ukraine and Venezuela to Thailand and Syria, revolutions, protests > and unrest are sweeping the globe. Are we just living in crazy times when > everyone's angry at the same time, or is there more than meets the eye? > > While each situation has its own complexities and particulars, complex > systems theorists at the New England Complex Systems Institute hypothesized > that the continuing rise of high global food prices could lead to uprisings > around the globe. Over a year ago, Yaneer Bar-Yam of the NECSI published a > paper that charted the rise of the FAO food price index -- a UN measure that > maps food costs over time -- and saw that whenever that figure rose above > 210, riots broke out around the world. The hypothesis held true for 2008's > economic collapse and 2011's Tunisian protests. After Bay-Yam built the > model, he was able to predict the Arab Spring just weeks before it > happened, and now the numbers are checking out for 2013, the year with the > third highest food prices on record." > > -- > glen ep ropella -- 971-255-2847 > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
